--- title: "调查显示，银行业具有韧性，1 月至 6 月的信贷增长可能达到 11-13%" type: "News" locale: "zh-CN" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/283250778.md" description: "根据 FICCI-IBA 银行家调查，印度银行业预计在 2026 年 1 月至 6 月期间，非食品信贷增长将达到 11-13%。这种乐观情绪源于资产负债表的改善、经济活动的稳定以及零售和中小企业领域的强劲需求。工业信贷增长预计将更加温和。对长期贷款需求的关键领域包括基础设施、房地产和制药。调查还强调了可持续金融的重要性，可再生能源融资显示出显著的增长潜力。总体而言，尽管地缘政治不确定性，银行对信贷扩张保持积极展望" datetime: "2026-04-19T02:50:11.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/283250778.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/283250778.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/283250778.md) --- # 调查显示，银行业具有韧性，1 月至 6 月的信贷增长可能达到 11-13% India's banking sector remains resilient in the backdrop of heightened geopolitical uncertainties, with a majority of bankers anticipating a non-food credit growth of 11-13 per cent during January-June 2026, according to the FICCI-IBA Bankers' Survey unveiled on Sunday. The outlook is supported by improving balance sheets, steady economic activity, sustained demand across multiple segments of the economy with robust retail and SME credit momentum, and early signs of revival in private capital expenditure. In contrast, industrial credit growth is expected to expand at a more measured pace, reflecting a gradual recovery rather than a sharp acceleration. The outlook suggests steady investment activity led by infrastructure development, manufacturing-linked sectors, and government-led capital expenditure. Term loan demand is expected to be largely driven by infrastructure, real estate, auto and auto components, pharmaceuticals, and emerging sectors such as data centres and defence-related industries. Most respondents expect the current monetary policy stance to remain broadly stable in the coming months, indicating a view that the existing policy framework remains appropriately calibrated to balance growth and inflation considerations, FICCI stated. While Artificial Intelligence is perceived as the most disruptive development likely to reshape banking operations, cybersecurity risk is seen as most pressing challenge confronting banks. The survey highlights growing prominence of sustainable finance opportunities, with renewable energy financing emerging as segment with strongest growth potential. "The aggregate distribution of responses indicates that 46 per cent of participants expect overall non-food credit growth in the 11-13 per cent range, making it the dominant view. A further 29 per cent anticipate growth above 13 per cent, while 17 per cent expect growth in the 9-11 per cent range. "Only 8 per cent of respondents foresee growth below 9 per cent, evenly split between the 5-7 per cent and 7-9 per cent categories," noted the survey. Foreign banks predominantly expect growth in the 11-13 per cent range, with a smaller proportion indicating 7-9 per cent growth. This reflects moderate optimism, largely shaped by global liquidity conditions, capital allocation priorities, and selective participation in domestic corporate credit markets. The twenty-first round of the FICCI-IBA Bankers' Survey captures industry sentiment for the outlook period January to June 2026. A total of 24 lenders, comprising public sector banks, private sector banks, foreign banks, small finance banks, and cooperative banks, participated in this round. The survey was conducted in January-February, 2026. Expectations regarding overall credit expansion remain positive, with banks anticipating continued momentum in non-food credit, FICCI stated. Public sector banks appear particularly confident in the outlook, reflecting improved asset quality, stronger capital positions, and increasing traction in corporate lending. Sectorally, credit demand from services and retail segments is expected to remain a key driver of overall lending growth. The services sector outlook reflects strong expectations of expansion, supported by activity in real estate, financial services, logistics, and tourism-related industries. Retail lending is also projected to remain robust, reinforcing its role as a central pillar of banking sector growth. SME credit demand is expected to remain particularly strong, with respondents expressing high confidence in continued expansion in this segment. This reflects improving business activity among smaller enterprises, increased formalisation of credit channels, and continued policy emphasis on supporting MSME growth. Sectors such as textiles, automobiles, pharmaceuticals, engineering goods, and food processing are expected to drive industrial working capital borrowing, it added. ### 相关股票 - [NDIA.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/NDIA.US.md) - [INDA.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/INDA.US.md) - [IND.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/IND.US.md) ## 相关资讯与研究 - [Agios 制药｜8-K：2026 财年 Q1 营收 20.75 百万美元超过预期](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/284547507.md) - [金管局与银行业五方面支持中小企 贷款组合中预留额增至逾 4500 亿](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/284548252.md) - [AI 制药的十字路口：资本猛冲，技术掉队？](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/284695252.md) - [银行业「轻量化」正在走的三条路](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/283489816.md) - [新股消息 | 邦顺制药拟港股 IPO 证监会要求补充说明历次增资及股权转让价格及定价依据等](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/283999796.md)