--- title: "Fada 数据显示，印度汽车市场从供过于求转变为供不应求" type: "News" locale: "zh-CN" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/283261675.md" description: "印度的乘用车市场在 2026 财年已从过剩库存转向供应限制，零售销量增长了 13%，达到 470 万辆，超过了 7.9% 的批发增长。这表明消费者的销售速度快于经销商的供应，导致经销商库存水平降低。尽管需求依然强劲，尤其是在城市和农村市场，但生产限制仍然存在，特别是市场领导者铃木汽车。商用车领域库存略有增加，而两轮车则正在经历需求复苏。汽车制造商必须有效管理生产和库存，以避免在 2027 财年出现过剩库存" datetime: "2026-04-19T09:57:27.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/283261675.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/283261675.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/283261675.md) --- # Fada 数据显示，印度汽车市场从供过于求转变为供不应求 India’s passenger vehicle (PV) market has undergone a sharp shift in 2025-26 (FY26), flipping from excess inventory to supply-side constraints within a year, even as underlying demand remains strong. Data from the Federation of Automobile Dealers Associations (Fada) shows PV retail sales rose 13 per cent year-on-year to 4.7 million units in FY26. This outpaced wholesale dispatches reported by the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers, which grew 7.9 per cent to 4.64 million units. The divergence indicates vehicles are being sold to end consumers faster than they are being supplied to dealerships, pointing to tightening supply conditions at the manufacturer level. The imbalance has led to a sharp correction in dealer inventory levels. PV dealer stock has normalised to around 28 days, down from over 50 days a year ago, signalling a healthier balance between supply and demand. This marks a clear reversal from 2024-25 and early FY26, when high inventory and uneven retail momentum weighed on dealer sentiment. The current trend suggests demand remains resilient across both urban and rural markets, supported by improved affordability following goods and services tax rate rationalisation and a steady pipeline of model launches. However, the faster pace of retail growth relative to wholesale also highlights constraints on production and dispatches, with automakers adopting a more calibrated approach after last year’s inventory overhang. Despite the broader tightening in inventory, dealers say discounts continue on select models where demand remains uneven. According to dealers, automakers are selectively offering cash benefits and dealer-level incentives to push slower-moving variants and clear older stock. “While fast-selling models have little to no discounts, there is still some support on vehicles with lower demand or higher inventory at the dealership level,” a Mumbai-based dealer said. Market leader Maruti Suzuki India, which contributes close to 40 per cent of PV volumes, has indicated that production constraints are likely to persist over the next few months. Even as demand across its lineup remains robust, wholesale growth has been relatively restrained, suggesting limits in ramping up dispatches in line with market demand. Prolonged waiting periods and shortages of specific variants in select models further underscore ongoing supply-side challenges. In contrast, other segments are exhibiting different demand-supply dynamics. In the commercial vehicle (CV) segment, wholesale dispatches grew 12.6 per cent to 1.08 million units in FY26, slightly ahead of retail growth of 11.7 per cent at 1.06 million units, according to Fada data. While the gap remains modest, it suggests manufacturers are beginning to build inventory in anticipation of sustained demand from infrastructure activity and freight movement. At the same time, the segment remains sensitive to fuel prices, financing conditions, and broader economic cycles, which could weigh on demand visibility. Two-wheelers (2Ws), on the other hand, present a clearer picture of demand recovery. Retail sales grew 13.4 per cent to 21.4 million units, outpacing wholesale growth of 10.7 per cent at 21.7 million units. This indicates dealers are continuing to liquidate inventory while benefiting from improved consumer demand across both rural and urban markets. The recovery has been supported by better affordability, relative stability in rural incomes, and a revival in entry-level demand, marking a return towards pre-pandemic growth trends. Overall, while FY26 has been a high-growth year across segments, the divergence between retail and wholesale trends highlights distinct underlying dynamics within the industry. PVs are entering a phase of tightening supply even as demand holds firm, CVs are showing early signs of inventory build-up, and 2Ws are witnessing a demand-led recovery. Heading into FY27, automakers’ ability to manage production, inventory, and dispatch strategies without recreating excess stock will be critical, particularly in the PV segment, where supply constraints could begin to limit growth despite continued demand strength. ### 相关股票 - [7269.JP](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/7269.JP.md) - [6785.JP](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/6785.JP.md) - [SZKMY.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/SZKMY.US.md) ## 相关资讯与研究 - [乘联分会：5 月 1-17 日全国乘用车市场零售 68.0 万辆 同比去年 5 月同期下降 23%](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287034723.md) - [崔东树：高油价重创燃油车国内零售 市场 “油电分化” 格局愈发显著](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286067986.md) - [绿控传动创业板 IPO 提交注册 为国内新能源商用车电驱动系统的领军企业之一](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287067916.md) - [美国柴油出口逆势走高，无惧库存低位隐忧](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286456007.md) - [Token 绝不平权，运营商怎么批发？](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286708998.md)