--- title: "联合国报告指出，印度经济预计将在 2026 年增长 6.4%，并在 2027 年增长 6.6%" type: "News" locale: "zh-CN" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/283436874.md" description: "根据联合国报告，印度经济预计在 2026 年增长 6.4%，在 2027 年增长 6.6%。报告指出，2025 年南亚和西南亚的增长率为 5.4%，这得益于印度的强劲表现，预计在 2025 年达到 7.4%。推动这一增长的因素包括强劲的农村消费和减税。然而，由于新关税导致对美国的出口下降 25%，经济活动在 2025 年底放缓。预计 2026 年的通货膨胀率为 4.4%，2027 年为 4.3%，外商直接投资流入在地缘政治紧张局势中下降" datetime: "2026-04-20T20:07:17.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/283436874.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/283436874.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/283436874.md) --- # 联合国报告指出，印度经济预计将在 2026 年增长 6.4%，并在 2027 年增长 6.6% India's economy is projected to grow at 6.4 per cent this year and 6.6 per cent in 2027, according to a report by the United Nations. The United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) said in the report released Monday that economies in South and South-West Asia grew by 5.4 per cent in 2025, compared to 5.2 per cent in 2024, driven largely by strong growth in India. India's growth edged up to 7.4 per cent in 2025, "supported by robust consumption, especially from the rural economy along with goods and services tax rate cuts, and export frontloading ahead of the United States' tariffs," the report, titled Economic and Social Survey of Asia and the Pacific 2026, said. It said in India, economic activities moderated in the second half of 2025 as exports to the United States declined by 25 per cent following the introduction of 50 per cent tariffs in August 2025. The services sector remained a key growth driver. The report projected India to register a 6.4 per cent growth rate in 2026 and 6.6 per cent next year. Inflation for the country is projected to be 4.4 per cent this year and 4.3 per cent in 2027. The report said that FDI inflows to developing Asian and Pacific economies declined amid trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty. After an increase of 0.6 per cent in 2024, FDI to the region declined by 2 per cent in 2025, even as global flows increased by 14 per cent. "Within the Asia-Pacific region, the countries that attracted the largest share of greenfield FDI in the first three quarters were India, Australia, the Republic of Korea and Kazakhstan with $50 billion, $30 billion, $25 billion and $21 billion in announced investments, respectively," it said. It further said that personal remittances, sent by Asian and Pacific workers employed outside of their home countries, continued to rise, cushioning the impact of vulnerable domestic employment conditions. Remittances have helped sustain the consumption of many households, but are facing headwinds. In India and the Philippines, about 40 per cent of the transfers are used for essential spending, including medical expenses, of recipient households. "However, as the world's largest remittance recipient of $137 billion in 2024, India could face a sizeable loss as the United States has levied a 1 per cent tax on all remittances since January 2026," it said. The report also cited estimates by the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) that suggested that there were around 16.6 million green jobs globally, with annual job creation of around 0.8 million between 2012 and 2024, 7 per cent annual growth. Out of these 16.6 million jobs, 7.3 million were in China, 1.3 million in India and 2.5 million in the rest of Asia 44 per cent, 8 per cent and 15 per cent of the global total, respectively. "Governments can leverage the energy transition to an environmentally sustainable economy to foster new domestic industries and build supportive constituencies," it said. It noted that public investment and targeted industrial policies can accelerate the emergence of beneficiaries such as renewable manufacturers, grid developers, storage providers and green industrial clusters. The report cited India's production-linked incentive scheme, saying it illustrates how macroeconomic policy can foster green industrial development through incentives for domestic manufacturing of solar photovoltaic, batteries and green hydrogen, reducing import dependence while creating new industrial beneficiaries with a vested interest in sustaining the transition. "Across developing economies in Asia and the Pacific, targeted industrial policies are being used to scale clean technology manufacturing and accelerate the energy transition. Initiatives include India's Production Linked Incentive scheme for high-efficiency solar modules, China's strategic subsidies for electric vehicle battery manufacturing," it said. ### 相关股票 - [INDA.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/INDA.US.md) - [FLIN.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/FLIN.US.md) - [INDY.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/INDY.US.md) - [INDL.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/INDL.US.md) - [IND.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/IND.US.md) - [NFTY.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/NFTY.US.md) - [EPI.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/EPI.US.md) ## 相关资讯与研究 - [知情人士：印度考虑下调外资债券投资相关税负](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286385065.md) - [雪佛龙有望实现七连涨，地缘政治与派息利好助推股价](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286956907.md) - [德国 PMI 连续两月低于荣枯线，经济或于 Q2 陷入萎缩](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287178750.md) - [对话张礼卿：中东局势对 A 股影响有限，核心仍看国内经济基本面](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287177251.md) - [黄金，再跌也不能买了？](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287144847.md)