<p>凯文·沃什（Kevin Warsh）定于周二就他被提名为美联储主席一职进行作证，参议员们可能会就他对美联储 2% 通胀目标的看法进行质询，因为自疫情以来，美国经济面临持续的价格压力。</p>
<p>现年 56 岁的沃什曾于 2006 年至 2011 年担任美联储理事，他将在参议院银行委员会作证，参议员们正在考虑他接替现任美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）的提名，鲍威尔的任期将于 5 月到期。</p>
<p>沃什在其开场声明的书面稿中概述了他对美联储双重使命中价格稳定部分的看法，FOX Business 在他作证前提前查看了该声明。</p>
<p>在他的准备发言中，沃什表示支持美联储促进价格稳定和充分就业的双重使命，尽管他没有具体讨论美联储长期保持 2% 通胀目标的政策。</p>
<p><strong>沃什证词中暗示与美联储现状的分歧的一句话</strong></p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/04/931/523/kevin-warsh-hoover-institution-fox-news-004.jpg/query-dGw9MSZ2ZT0x?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/04/931/523/kevin-warsh-hoover-institution-fox-news-004.jpg/query-dGw9MSZ2ZT0x"/></p>
<p>前美联储理事凯文·沃什是接替鲍威尔担任美联储主席的提名人选。（DMV Productions）</p>
<p>沃什写道：“首先，国会赋予美联储确保价格稳定的使命，没有借口或含糊，争论或痛苦。通胀是一个选择，美联储必须对此负责。”</p>
<p>他说：“低通胀是美联储的护身符，是其抵御攻击的关键保护。”</p>
<p>沃什写道：“因此，当通胀飙升时——正如近年来所发生的那样——我们的公民受到严重伤害，尤其是那些最不富裕的人。他们失去了购买力，生活水平下降。他们可能还会对我们的经济治理体系失去信心，怀疑货币政策独立性是否如宣传的那样。”</p>
<p><strong>特朗普提名的美联储人选披露 1.31 亿美元财富，提名面临阻力</strong></p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/01/931/523/kevin-warsh-01.jpg/query-dGw9MSZ2ZT0x?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/01/931/523/kevin-warsh-01.jpg/query-dGw9MSZ2ZT0x"/></p>
<p>沃什强调了价格稳定的重要性，并对过于依赖 2% 通胀目标持怀疑态度，认为这存在测量误差和政策失误的风险。（Tierney L. Cross/Bloomberg via Getty Images）</p>
<p>沃什在 2023 年英国上议院经济事务委员会的听证会上讨论了他对货币政策目标的看法，并表示他认为价格稳定是一个迫切任务，但对精确测量通胀的能力持怀疑态度，因此他更倾向于基于区间的通胀目标。</p>
<p>他解释道：“价格稳定是北极星。没有稳定的价格，几乎不可能实现充分就业。也几乎不可能让经济以其全部潜力增长。当价格波动时……家庭和企业很难做出他们可能希望做出的明智决策。”</p>
<p>沃什表示：“坦率地说，我们无法区分美国或英国的通胀率是 1.7%、2.0% 还是 2.3%，因为我们并没有那么精确地测量它。经济学不是物理学——至少目前还不是。”</p>
<p><strong>美联储官员表示，随着油价和通胀保持高位，加息可能性增加</strong></p>
<p>沃什表示，他倾向于 “更喜欢区间而不是点估计，部分原因是测量误差，部分原因是我认为广泛的价格稳定永远不会那么精确。”</p>
<p>他补充说，通常情况下，他认为如此精确地看待通胀 “导致许多中央银行在几年前过度刺激经济”，并导致做出促使通胀远高于目标的决策。</p>
<p>沃什表示：“我总体上支持区间。价格稳定在数字定义上会随着时间而变化。全球经济的结构正在发生变化，甚至在我们说话的时候。我认为在某种永久基础上达成 2.0% 的共识是有问题的。”</p>
<p>美国的通胀在 2022 年 6 月达到 9.1% 的峰值，目前约为 3%，在过去一年中由于关税和伊朗战争引发的能源冲击而上升。</p>
<p><strong>点击这里获取 FOX 商业新闻的移动版</strong></p>
<p>美联储首选的通胀指标——个人消费支出（PCE）指数在 2 月份的年率为 2.8%。3 月份的数据将在下周末公布。</p>
<p>另一个流行的通胀指标——消费者价格指数（CPI）显示，3 月份的通胀率在 2 月份为 2.4% 的基础上跃升至 3.3%，这与战争对能源市场的影响有关。</p>

纳斯达克 100 指数 ETF - Invesco

ZIVB

QQWZ

纳指 100 ETF - Invesco

博时标普500ETF

金融业 ETF - SPDR

2631

纳斯达克综合指数 ETF - Fidelity

<p>凯文·沃什（Kevin Warsh），美联储主席提名人，将就他对美联储 2% 通胀目标的看法进行证词，背景是持续的价格压力。沃什支持美联储的双重任务，即价格稳定和充分就业，但对严格的 2% 目标持怀疑态度，原因是测量误差。他强调价格稳定对经济增长的重要性，并建议采用基于区间的通胀目标。沃什的提名正值通胀问题依然严峻，目前通胀率约为 3%，而 2022 年 6 月曾达到 9.1% 的峰值</p>

<p>Kevin Warsh is set to testify on Tuesday about his nomination to be chairman of the Federal Reserve, with senators likely to press him on his views of the Fed's 2% inflation target given the persistent price pressures affecting the U.S. economy since the pandemic.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>凯文·沃什（Kevin Warsh）定于周二就他被提名为美联储主席一职进行作证，参议员们可能会就他对美联储 2% 通胀目标的看法进行质询，因为自疫情以来，美国经济面临持续的价格压力。</p>
</div><p>The 56-year-old Warsh, who served as a Fed governor from 2006 to 2011, will testify before the Senate Banking Committee as senators weigh his nomination to succeed current Fed Chair Jerome Powell, whose term leading the central bank is due to expire in May.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>现年 56 岁的沃什曾于 2006 年至 2011 年担任美联储理事，他将在参议院银行委员会作证，参议员们正在考虑他接替现任美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）的提名，鲍威尔的任期将于 5 月到期。</p>
</div><p>Warsh offered an overview of how he views the price stability component of the Fed's dual mandate in a written copy of his opening statement, which FOX Business viewed in advance of his testimony.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>沃什在其开场声明的书面稿中概述了他对美联储双重使命中价格稳定部分的看法，FOX Business 在他作证前提前查看了该声明。</p>
</div><p>In his prepared remarks, Warsh says that he supports the Federal Reserve's dual mandate of promoting price stability as well as full employment, though he didn't specifically discuss the Fed's policy target of keeping inflation at 2% over the long-run.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在他的准备发言中，沃什表示支持美联储促进价格稳定和充分就业的双重使命，尽管他没有具体讨论美联储长期保持 2% 通胀目标的政策。</p>
</div><p><strong>THE ONE LINE IN WARSH'S TESTIMONY SIGNALING A BREAK FROM THE FED'S STATUS QUO</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>沃什证词中暗示与美联储现状的分歧的一句话</strong></p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/04/931/523/kevin-warsh-hoover-institution-fox-news-004.jpg/query-dGw9MSZ2ZT0x" alt="" original-src="https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/04/931/523/kevin-warsh-hoover-institution-fox-news-004.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1"/></p>
<p>Former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh is the nominee to succeed Powel as Fed chair. (DMV Productions)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>前美联储理事凯文·沃什是接替鲍威尔担任美联储主席的提名人选。（DMV Productions）</p>
</div><p>&#34;First, Congress tasked the Fed with the mission to ensure price stability, without excuse or equivocation, argument or anguish. Inflation is a choice, and the Fed must take responsibility for it,&#34; Warsh wrote.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>沃什写道：“首先，国会赋予美联储确保价格稳定的使命，没有借口或含糊，争论或痛苦。通胀是一个选择，美联储必须对此负责。”</p>
</div><p>&#34;Low inflation is the Fed's plot armor, its vital protection against slings and arrows,&#34; he said.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>他说：“低通胀是美联储的护身符，是其抵御攻击的关键保护。”</p>
</div><p>&#34;So, when inflation surges – as it has done in recent years – grievous harm is done to our citizens, especially to the least well-off. They lose purchasing power. Their standard of living falls. They may also lose faith in our system of economic governance, raising doubts whether monetary policy independence is all it's cracked up to be,&#34; Warsh wrote.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>沃什写道：“因此，当通胀飙升时——正如近年来所发生的那样——我们的公民受到严重伤害，尤其是那些最不富裕的人。他们失去了购买力，生活水平下降。他们可能还会对我们的经济治理体系失去信心，怀疑货币政策独立性是否如宣传的那样。”</p>
</div><p><strong>TRUMP'S FED PICK DISCLOSES $131M FORTUNE AS NOMINATION FACES HEADWINDS</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>特朗普提名的美联储人选披露 1.31 亿美元财富，提名面临阻力</strong></p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/01/931/523/kevin-warsh-01.jpg/query-dGw9MSZ2ZT0x" alt="" original-src="https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/01/931/523/kevin-warsh-01.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1"/></p>
<p>Warsh has emphasized the importance of price stability and is skeptical of relying too heavily on a 2% inflation target due to the risk of measurement errors and policy mistakes. (Tierney L. Cross/Bloomberg via Getty Images)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>沃什强调了价格稳定的重要性，并对过于依赖 2% 通胀目标持怀疑态度，认为这存在测量误差和政策失误的风险。（Tierney L. Cross/Bloomberg via Getty Images）</p>
</div><p>Warsh discussed his view of monetary policy goals in a 2023 hearing before the British House of Lords' Economic Affairs Committee and said that he views price stability as an imperative, but is skeptical of the ability to measure inflation precisely, and so he prefers a range-based inflation target.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>沃什在 2023 年英国上议院经济事务委员会的听证会上讨论了他对货币政策目标的看法，并表示他认为价格稳定是一个迫切任务，但对精确测量通胀的能力持怀疑态度，因此他更倾向于基于区间的通胀目标。</p>
</div><p>&#34;Price stability is the North Star. Without stable prices, it is almost impossible to have full employment. It is also almost impossible to have economies that are growing at their full potential. When prices are volatile… it is difficult for households and businesses to make the prudent decisions that they might like,&#34; he explained.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>他解释道：“价格稳定是北极星。没有稳定的价格，几乎不可能实现充分就业。也几乎不可能让经济以其全部潜力增长。当价格波动时……家庭和企业很难做出他们可能希望做出的明智决策。”</p>
</div><p>&#34;Frankly, we would not know the difference whether inflation was running at 1.7%, 2.0% or 2.3% in the United States or in the United Kingdom because we do not measure it that precisely,&#34; Warsh said. &#34;Economics is not physics – at least not yet.&#34;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>沃什表示：“坦率地说，我们无法区分美国或英国的通胀率是 1.7%、2.0% 还是 2.3%，因为我们并没有那么精确地测量它。经济学不是物理学——至少目前还不是。”</p>
</div><p><strong>FED OFFICIAL SAYS INTEREST RATE HIKE POSSIBLE AS GAS PRICES, INFLATION REMAIN ELEVATED</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>美联储官员表示，随着油价和通胀保持高位，加息可能性增加</strong></p>
</div><p>Warsh said that he tends to &#34;prefer ranges versus point estimates, in part because of measurement error and in part because I think broad price stability can never be that precise.&#34;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>沃什表示，他倾向于 “更喜欢区间而不是点估计，部分原因是测量误差，部分原因是我认为广泛的价格稳定永远不会那么精确。”</p>
</div><p>He added that, in general, he thinks viewing inflation that precisely &#34;led many of the central banks to overly stimulate economies a few years ago,&#34; and led to decisions that contributed to inflation running well above target.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>他补充说，通常情况下，他认为如此精确地看待通胀 “导致许多中央银行在几年前过度刺激经济”，并导致做出促使通胀远高于目标的决策。</p>
</div><p>&#34;I broadly favor ranges. Price stability, in the numerical definition, will change in the times. The structures in the global economy are changing even as we speak. It strikes me that agreeing on some permanent basis to 2.0% is asking for trouble,&#34; Warsh said.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>沃什表示：“我总体上支持区间。价格稳定在数字定义上会随着时间而变化。全球经济的结构正在发生变化，甚至在我们说话的时候。我认为在某种永久基础上达成 2.0% 的共识是有问题的。”</p>
</div><p>Inflation peaked in the U.S. at 9.1% in June 2022 and is currently around 3%, having risen over the last year due to tariffs and the recent impact of the recent energy shock caused by the Iran war.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美国的通胀在 2022 年 6 月达到 9.1% 的峰值，目前约为 3%，在过去一年中由于关税和伊朗战争引发的能源冲击而上升。</p>
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<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>点击这里获取 FOX 商业新闻的移动版</strong></p>
</div><p>The Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, was 2.8% in February on an annual basis. Data from March is due at the end of next week.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美联储首选的通胀指标——个人消费支出（PCE）指数在 2 月份的年率为 2.8%。3 月份的数据将在下周末公布。</p>
</div><p>Another popular inflation gauge, the consumer price index (CPI), showed inflation jumped to 3.3% in March after a 2.4% reading in February due to the impact of the war on energy markets.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另一个流行的通胀指标——消费者价格指数（CPI）显示，3 月份的通胀率在 2 月份为 2.4% 的基础上跃升至 3.3%，这与战争对能源市场的影响有关。</p>
</div>

Where Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh stands on inflation targets

- Kevin Warsh 将于周二就其美联储主席提名作证，讨论通胀目标问题。  
- Warsh 强调价格稳定的重要性，并对 2% 通胀目标持怀疑态度。  
- 美国通胀在 2022 年达到 9.1%，现约 3%，受多种因素影响。

美联储主席提名人凯文·沃什对通胀目标的看法