<p>投资者正为周三可能是财报季最关键的一天做好准备，四家 “七大巨头” 企业将在市场收盘后发布财报。预测市场的活动因此加剧。</p>
<h2>谁将超出预期？</h2>
<p><strong>微软公司</strong> (NASDAQ: MSFT)、<strong>亚马逊公司</strong> (NASDAQ: AMZN)、<strong>Meta Platforms</strong> (NASDAQ: META) 和 <strong>Alphabet Inc</strong> (NASDAQ: GOOG) (NASDAQ: GOOGL) 正在聚光灯下。</p>
<p>截至目前，这些科技巨头的总市值接近 12 万亿美元，反映出它们对市场的强大影响力。</p>
<p>毫不奇怪，赌徒们在财报结果上下注颇多。</p>
<p>基于 <strong>Polygon</strong> (CRYPTO: POL)-的 <strong>Polyamarket</strong> 赋予亚马逊超出第一季度财报预期的概率为 96%，超过共识每股收益预期的$1.65。</p>
<p>市场的乐观情绪也延伸到其他公司，Meta、微软和 Alphabet 在撰写时的财报超出概率分别为 94%、92% 和 96%。</p>
<p><strong>另请阅读：</strong>
<strong>财报波动观察：本周 Sandisk 和 5 家七大巨头股票的预期</strong></p>
<h2>高管在电话会议上会说什么？</h2>
<p>提及词市场也在活跃交易。在 Kalshi，交易者预计亚马逊高管在财报电话会议中提到 “直播体育” 的概率为 95%，紧随其后的是 “Alexa” 和 “关税”，各为 94%。</p>
<p>同样，市场对 Alphabet 高管在财报电话会议中提到 “Gemini 3” 和 “Wiz” 的概率大约为 90%。</p>
<p>“Threads” 和 “Cloud” 在 Meta 的财报电话会议中被提及的概率分别为 97% 和 95%，而 “Gaming” 和 “LinkedIn” 则是微软的提及词投注的热门。</p>
<h2>快速增长的细分市场</h2>
<p>公司们越来越多地利用大型科技财报的热度，通过预测吸引零售投资者的兴趣。</p>
<p>加密货币交易所 <strong>Bitget</strong> 推出了一项促销活动，邀请用户 “预测 MAG7 财报结果”，以赢取$1,000 的 Tether (CRYPTO: USDT)。</p>
<p><strong>Zcash</strong> (CRYPTO: ZEC) 在过去 24 小时内上涨了 22%，一周内上涨超过 40%。</p>
<p><strong>价格走势</strong>：<strong>Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF</strong>(BATS: MAGS)，该 ETF 对 “七大巨头” 股票提供等权重的投资，盘前下跌 0.57%，在周二的常规交易时段收盘时下跌 0.33%，报$66.86。</p>
<p>该股票在多个时间框架内继续表现出强劲，得益于 Benzinga Edge 排名中的适度高动量评分。</p>
<p></p>
<p><em>图片来源于 Shutterstock</em></p>
<p><strong>另请阅读：</strong>
<strong>Bitget 推出 MAG7 财报预测比赛，奖金为$1,000 USDT：你需要知道的一切</strong></p>

微软

亚马逊

谷歌-C

MAGS

<p>投资者正为一个重要的财报发布日做好准备，因为微软、亚马逊、Meta 和 Alphabet 将在市场收盘后公布其第一季度业绩。预测市场显示出高期望，亚马逊有 96% 的概率超出盈利预期。其他公司也有强烈的概率实现正收益。此外，交易者正在猜测在财报电话会议中将提到的关键话题，例如亚马逊的 “直播体育” 和 Meta 的 “Threads”。Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF 在盘前略微下跌，反映了市场在公告前的情绪</p>

<p>Investors are bracing for arguably one of the most pivotal days of earnings season on Wednesday, with four of the “Magnificent Seven” giants set to report after market close. Activity on prediction markets, consequently, has intensified.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>投资者正为周三可能是财报季最关键的一天做好准备，四家 “七大巨头” 企业将在市场收盘后发布财报。预测市场的活动因此加剧。</p>
</div><h2>Who’s Beating Earnings?</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>谁将超出预期？</h2>
</div><p><strong>Microsoft Corp</strong> (NASDAQ: MSFT), <strong>Amazon.com Inc</strong> (NASDAQ: AMZN), <strong>Meta Platforms</strong> (NASDAQ: META) and <strong>Alphabet Inc</strong> (NASDAQ: GOOG) (NASDAQ: GOOGL) are in the spotlight.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>微软公司</strong> (NASDAQ: MSFT)、<strong>亚马逊公司</strong> (NASDAQ: AMZN)、<strong>Meta Platforms</strong> (NASDAQ: META) 和 <strong>Alphabet Inc</strong> (NASDAQ: GOOG) (NASDAQ: GOOGL) 正在聚光灯下。</p>
</div><p>The combined valuation of these technology giants was nearly $12 trillion as of this writing, reflecting their strong ability to sway markets.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>截至目前，这些科技巨头的总市值接近 12 万亿美元，反映出它们对市场的强大影响力。</p>
</div><p>Unsurprisingly, punters were placing large bets on the earnings outcome.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>毫不奇怪，赌徒们在财报结果上下注颇多。</p>
</div><p><strong>Polygon</strong> (CRYPTO: POL)-based <strong>Polyamarket</strong> assigned a 96% probability that Amazon will surpass its first quarter earnings expectations, beating the consensus EPS estimate of $1.65.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>基于 <strong>Polygon</strong> (CRYPTO: POL)-的 <strong>Polyamarket</strong> 赋予亚马逊超出第一季度财报预期的概率为 96%，超过共识每股收益预期的$1.65。</p>
</div><p>Market optimism extended to other firms, as Meta, Microsoft, and Alphabet carried earnings beat probabilities of 94%, 92%, and 96%, respectively, at the time of writing.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>市场的乐观情绪也延伸到其他公司，Meta、微软和 Alphabet 在撰写时的财报超出概率分别为 94%、92% 和 96%。</p>
</div><p><strong>Read Also:</strong>
<strong>Earnings Volatility Watch: What To Expect From Sandisk and 5 Mag Seven Stocks This Week</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>另请阅读：</strong>
<strong>财报波动观察：本周 Sandisk 和 5 家七大巨头股票的预期</strong></p>
</div><h2>What Will Executives Say During Call?</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>高管在电话会议上会说什么？</h2>
</div><p>The word-mention market was also buzzing with activity. On Kalshi, traders priced in a 95% chance that an Amazon executive mentions &#34;Live Sports&#34; during the earnings call, followed by &#34;Alexa&#34; and &#34;Tariff&#34; at 94% each.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>提及词市场也在活跃交易。在 Kalshi，交易者预计亚马逊高管在财报电话会议中提到 “直播体育” 的概率为 95%，紧随其后的是 “Alexa” 和 “关税”，各为 94%。</p>
</div><p>Similarly, markets assigned roughly 90% odds to Alphabet executives referencing both &#34;Gemini 3&#34; and &#34;Wiz&#34; during their earnings call.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>同样，市场对 Alphabet 高管在财报电话会议中提到 “Gemini 3” 和 “Wiz” 的概率大约为 90%。</p>
</div><p>&#34;Threads&#34; and &#34;Cloud&#34; carried overwhelming odds of being mentioned in Meta's earnings call, at 97% and 95%, respectively, while &#34;Gaming&#34; and &#34;LinkedIn&#34; led the word-mention bets for Microsoft.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“Threads” 和 “Cloud” 在 Meta 的财报电话会议中被提及的概率分别为 97% 和 95%，而 “Gaming” 和 “LinkedIn” 则是微软的提及词投注的热门。</p>
</div><h2>A Rapidly Gaining Segment</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>快速增长的细分市场</h2>
</div><p>Companies are increasingly capitalizing on Big Tech earnings hype, using predictions to draw in retail interest.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>公司们越来越多地利用大型科技财报的热度，通过预测吸引零售投资者的兴趣。</p>
</div><p>Cryptocurrency exchange <strong>Bitget</strong> launched a promotion inviting users to “Predict MAG7 earnings result” for a chance to win $1,000 in Tether (CRYPTO: USDT) by predicting the results of the aforementioned companies.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>加密货币交易所 <strong>Bitget</strong> 推出了一项促销活动，邀请用户 “预测 MAG7 财报结果”，以赢取$1,000 的 Tether (CRYPTO: USDT)。</p>
</div><p><strong>Zcash</strong> (CRYPTO: ZEC) jumped 22% in the last 24 hours, and over 40% in a week.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>Zcash</strong> (CRYPTO: ZEC) 在过去 24 小时内上涨了 22%，一周内上涨超过 40%。</p>
</div><p><strong>Price Action</strong>: The <strong>Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF</strong>(BATS: MAGS), which offers equal-weight exposure to the &#34;Mag 7&#34; stocks, is down 0.57% pre-market after closing 0.33% lower at $66.86 during Tuesday's regular trading session</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>价格走势</strong>：<strong>Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF</strong>(BATS: MAGS)，该 ETF 对 “七大巨头” 股票提供等权重的投资，盘前下跌 0.57%，在周二的常规交易时段收盘时下跌 0.33%，报$66.86。</p>
</div><p>The stock continues to exhibit strength across multiple timeframes, backed by a moderately high Momentum score in Benzinga's Edge rankings.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该股票在多个时间框架内继续表现出强劲，得益于 Benzinga Edge 排名中的适度高动量评分。</p>
</div><p></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p></p>
</div><p><em>Image via Shutterstock</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图片来源于 Shutterstock</em></p>
</div><p><strong>Read Also:</strong>
<strong>Bitget Launches Mag 7 Earnings Prediction Contest With $1,000 USDT Prize: All You Need To Know</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>另请阅读：</strong>
<strong>Bitget 推出 MAG7 财报预测比赛，奖金为$1,000 USDT：你需要知道的一切</strong></p>
</div>

Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta Set To Report Q1 Earnings After Market Close Today—Here's What Polymarket and Kalshi Traders Expect

- 投资者将迎来关键的财报日，微软、亚马逊、Meta 和谷歌将发布财报。  
- 这些科技巨头市值接近 12 万亿美元，预计将影响市场。  
- 预测市场对亚马逊超出预期的概率为 96%，其他公司的概率也很高。

微软、亚马逊、Alphabet - C、Meta Platforms 将在今日收盘后公布第一季度财报——以下是 Polymarket 和 Kalshi 交易员的预期