--- title: "马来西亚央行维持利率不变，以评估中东战争的影响——更新" type: "News" locale: "zh-CN" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/285510850.md" description: "马来西亚中央银行——马来西亚国行在通胀得到控制和经济韧性的情况下，尽管受到中东冲突的干扰，仍将隔夜政策利率维持在 2.75%。这一决定与经济学家的预测一致，反映了马来西亚作为净能源出口国的地位，尽管其仍然容易受到油价波动的影响。该银行预计，国内需求和出口将支持经济持续增长，同时预计到 2026 年通胀将保持在可控范围内，得益于政府的补贴。然而，补贴成本的上升可能会影响财政目标" datetime: "2026-05-07T08:25:33.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/285510850.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/285510850.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/285510850.md) --- # 马来西亚央行维持利率不变，以评估中东战争的影响——更新 By Ying Xian Wong KUALA LUMPUR, Malaysia--Malaysia's central bank once again left interest rates unchanged as inflation remains contained and the economy shows resilience amid disruptions caused by the Middle East conflict. Bank Negara Malaysia kept its overnight policy rate at 2.75% on Thursday, holding steady since it delivered a 25-basis-point cut in July last year. The decision was forecast by all eight economists polled by The Wall Street Journal. As one of Asia's few net energy exporters, Malaysia is better positioned than many of its regional peers to absorb energy shocks, although its reliance on imported crude oil from the Middle East still leaves it exposed to some risk. The central bank noted uncertainties arising from the ongoing Middle East conflict, saying the impact on the global and Malaysian economies will depend on how the situation develops. "At the current OPR level, the MPC considers the monetary policy stance to be appropriate and consistent with the outlook of continued price stability and sustainable economic growth," Bank Negara said in a statement. The economy likely sustained growth momentum in the first quarter, supported by resilient domestic demand and strong exports, the central bank said. Despite uncertainties linked to the Middle East conflict, strong fundamentals should sustain the economy's resilience, it added, noting employment and wage growth will continue to support household spending, with investment backed by public and private sector projects. BNM sees exports likely to benefit from robust electrical and electronics shipment as contribution from tourism remains steady but moderate. Domestic inflation is seen to be pushed higher from higher global commodity prices as the conflict in the Middle East continues. The central bank sees headline and core inflation to remain contained in 2026, as domestic policies and stable demand mitigate the pass-through of these external costs. With ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, the Malaysian government noted that the country has enough fuel supplies to meet domestic demand through June. The government is spending roughly 5 billion ringgit a month, equivalent to about $1.27 billion, to subsidize RON95, the nation's most widely used petrol grade, helping to keep domestic inflation in check. But that relief comes at a cost, HSBC economists Yun Liu and Madhurima Nag said. They said the rising subsidies bill is putting pressure on Malaysia's fiscal position and could jeopardize the government's 2026 budget-deficit target of 3.5% of gross domestic product. Capital Economics sees such measures, coped with consumer spending and data-center investment to boost demand, expecting growth to "hold up pretty well," said senior Asia economist Gareth Leather. Leather expects BNM to hold rates steady throughout 2026, adding inflation sits at "a level with which policymakers are likely to be very comfortable." Write to Ying Xian Wong at yingxian.wong@wsj.com (END) Dow Jones Newswires May 07, 2026 04:09 ET (08:09 GMT) Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. ### 相关股票 - [1560.JP](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/1560.JP.md) - [EWM.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/EWM.US.md) - [HMYR.UK](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/HMYR.UK.md) - [00005.HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/00005.HK.md) - [HSBC.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/HSBC.US.md) - [HSBA.UK](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/HSBA.UK.md) - [DTIW.SG](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/DTIW.SG.md) ## 相关资讯与研究 - [油价高企 +AI 需求推高能源成本，日本央行这次真的会动手吗？](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287153504.md) - [报道：管委 Stournaras 称若油价持续高企 欧洲央行可能不得不加息](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286456993.md) - [警报拉响：美联储鹰派称通胀是 “最紧迫风险”，鸽派却已黯然离场？](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286489763.md) - [2026 年 FOMC 票委保尔森 “放鹰”：倾向于维持利率不变 降息前提是抗通胀持续取得进展](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286982237.md) - [通胀溢价叠加海外压力推升美债收益率，沃什面临通胀回升政治两难---W20 海外宏观脱水](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286689655.md)