--- title: "意见摘要显示，日本央行仍在加息的轨道上" type: "News" locale: "zh-CN" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286017464.md" description: "日本银行的政策制定者正在考虑提高利率，因为他们对与地缘政治紧张局势（特别是中东地区）相关的通货膨胀上升表示担忧。尽管需要对日本经济复苏保持谨慎，但在下次货币政策会议上加息的可能性依然存在。日本银行上个月将政策利率维持在 0.75%，并上调了通胀预测，未来加息的频率将根据通胀压力进行讨论。中央银行旨在在成本上升的情况下优先考虑价格稳定" datetime: "2026-05-12T01:20:27.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286017464.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286017464.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286017464.md) --- # 意见摘要显示，日本央行仍在加息的轨道上 By Megumi Fujikawa TOKYO--Bank of Japan policymakers continued to see a need to raise interest rates at their last meeting in April, even as they remained cautious about how the Middle East conflict will affect Japan's economy. A summary of opinions expressed by the BOJ policy board shows that the central bank has grown increasingly concerned about a potential rise in underlying inflation stemming from war-driven disruptions to oil and gas prices. But with the fallout from the conflict also threatening to derail Japan's economic recovery, analysts expect the BOJ to tread carefully in deciding the timing of its next rate hike. "The situation in the Middle East remains unclear, and the current circumstances do not suggest a pressing need to quickly raise the policy interest rate," one policy board member was quoted as saying in the summary of the bank's April 27-28 meeting. "However, given that the impact on Japan's economy will become apparent to some degree, it is quite possible that the bank will raise the policy interest rate from the next MPM \[monetary policy meeting\] onward, even if the future course of the situation in the Middle East remains unclear," the member added. The summary, released Tuesday, doesn't identify speakers. Last month, the BOJ kept its policy rate unchanged at 0.75% amid intense geopolitical uncertainty, and raised its inflation forecasts to reflect higher crude prices. One member floated the idea of raising the policy rate every few months, with the possibility that the bank might have to accelerate the pace of tightening if inflationary risks increase. "A further rise in domestic distribution costs due to the surge in fuel costs cannot be avoided, and this could bring forward the timing for underlying CPI \[consumer price index\] inflation to reach 2%," a board member said. There was also an opinion that the surge in crude oil prices could push up not only energy costs but also prices of a wide range of items. "Since the main risk factor for a downward deviation in economic activity is a rise in prices, the bank should make it a priority to carry out its mission as the guardian of price stability and thereby contain a downward deviation of economic activity," one member said. Write to Megumi Fujikawa at megumi.fujikawa@wsj.com (END) Dow Jones Newswires May 11, 2026 21:06 ET (01:06 GMT) Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. ### 相关股票 - [1568.JP](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/1568.JP.md) - [1475.JP](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/1475.JP.md) - [03153.HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/03153.HK.md) - [1473.JP](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/1473.JP.md) ## 相关资讯与研究 - [做多日元正当时？OECD 预言日本利率将升至 2%：三十年零通胀时代终结](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286203490.md) - [日本 3 月份家庭支出同比下降 2.9%，连续四个月下滑](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286010033.md) - [日本经济增速超预期 为日本央行加息提供支撑](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286830886.md) - [高市政府释放 “慎审” 信号！日本央行加息脚步放缓？](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/285932901.md) - [日本加入全球债券抛售潮，通胀担忧重燃市场对日本央行加息的预期](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286213151.md)