---
title: "摩根大通警告石油冲击可能导致通胀持续高企至 2027 年"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286067571.md"
description: "摩根大通警告称，全球石油供应中断在四月份达到了 1370 万桶/日，这可能会使通胀持续高企至 2027 年。美国汽油价格已飙升至每加仑 4.52 美元，显示出需求的下降。该银行预测，消费者价格指数（CPI）将在 2027 年初之前保持在 3% 以上，如果油价持续高位，最坏情况下将超过 5%"
datetime: "2026-05-12T09:15:18.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286067571.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286067571.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286067571.md)
---

# 摩根大通警告石油冲击可能导致通胀持续高企至 2027 年

Record supply gap: Global oil disruptions hit 13.7 million barrels per day in April, forcing heavy inventory drawdowns and leaving a 2 million bpd shortfall. Consumer squeeze: U.S. gas prices have climbed to $4.52 a gallon on average, with reduced driving and higher airfares already signaling demand destruction. Inflation outlook: JPMorgan sees CPI staying above 3% into early 2027, with worst-case scenarios topping 5% if oil prices remain elevated.

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