---
title: "台积电称，随着人工智能推动市场增长，全球芯片市场预计到 2030 年将达到 1.5 万亿美元"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286345902.md"
description: "台积电预测到 2030 年，全球半导体市场将超过 1.5 万亿美元，主要受到人工智能和高性能计算的推动，这两者将占市场的 55%。该公司计划大幅扩展其产能，预计 2026 年至 2028 年其先进芯片的年复合增长率将达到 70%，而其先进封装技术的年复合增长率将超过 80%。台积电还在亚利桑那州、日本和德国扩展其全球布局，以满足日益增长的需求，特别是对人工智能芯片的需求"
datetime: "2026-05-14T02:06:00.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286345902.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286345902.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286345902.md)
---

# 台积电称，随着人工智能推动市场增长，全球芯片市场预计到 2030 年将达到 1.5 万亿美元

HSINCHU, Taiwan, May 14 (Reuters) - TSMC, the world's largest contract chipmaker, expects the global semiconductor market to exceed $1.5 trillion by 2030, topping its previous forecast of $1 trillion, according to its presentation materials ahead of a tech symposium on Thursday.

Here are the ​details:

\-- AI and high-performance computing are expected to account for 55% of the $1.5 trillion market, followed by smartphones with 20%, and automotive applications with 10%, according to TSMC.

\-- TSMC said it has been expanding capacity at a faster pace in 2025 and 2026 and plans to build nine phases of wafer fabs and advanced packaging facilities in 2026.

\-- The chipmaker is projected to ramp up capacity for its most advanced 2-nanometer and next generation A16 chips, with a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 70% from 2026 to 2028.

\-- TSMC said CAGR of capacity for its advanced packaging CoWoS (Chip on Wafer on Substrate) is forecast at more than 80% from 2022 to 2027. CoWoS is a key chip packaging technology widely used in AI chips including those designed by Nvidia.

\-- The company said AI accelerator wafer demand is projected to increase 11-fold from 2022 to 2026.

TSMC'S GLOBAL FOOTPRINT

\-- Arizona: The first fab is already in production. Tool move-in for the second fab is planned for the second half of 2026. Construction of a third fab is underway. Work on a fourth fab and the site's first advanced packaging facility is expected to begin this year.

\-- TSMC anticipates a 1.8-fold year-on-year increase in Arizona output by 2026, with yields comparable to those in Taiwan.

\-- The chipmaker said it completed the purchase of a second large parcel of land in Arizona for future expansion.

\-- Japan: The first fab is currently in volume production for 22-nanometer and 28-nanometer products. Plans for the second fab have been upgraded to 3-nanometer in response to strong demand.

\-- Germany: The fab is currently under construction and progressing as scheduled. It plans to provide 28-nanometer and 22-nanometer technologies, followed by 16-nanometer and 12-nanometer technologies.

(Reporting by Wen-Yee Lee; Editing by Kate Mayberry)

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