---
title: "由于需求疲软，摩根大通将 2026 年黄金价格预测下调至 5243 美元"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286801790.md"
description: "摩根大通已将其 2026 年黄金预测下调至 5243 美元，原因是投资者兴趣疲软、期货活动低迷以及 ETF 资金流入乏力。黄金价格自 1 月份的高点以来已下跌近 20%，受到收益率上升、美元走强和美伊紧张局势的影响。分析师预测，如果通胀和能源波动减弱，投资者和中央银行的需求可能在 2026 年底出现反弹"
datetime: "2026-05-18T17:09:18.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286801790.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286801790.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286801790.md)
---

# 由于需求疲软，摩根大通将 2026 年黄金价格预测下调至 5243 美元

Forecast cut reasons: JPMorgan cited weak investor interest, low futures activity, and muted ETF inflows for lowering its 2026 gold forecast. Market under pressure: Gold prices have dropped nearly 20% from January highs, weighed down by rising yields, dollar strength, and US-Iran tensions. Potential rebound ahead: Analysts expect demand from investors and central banks to recover in late 2026 if inflation and energy volatility subside.

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