---
title: "美联储五月的通胀预测大幅上升，2026 年降息的可能性不大"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286852758.md"
description: "克利夫兰联邦储备银行预计 5 月份通胀率为 4.18%，第二季度消费者价格指数年化为 6.89%，为三年来最高。伊朗战争的影响导致油价飙升，导致美国汽油价格迅速上涨。因此，2026 年降息的希望减弱，预计在新任联邦储备主席凯文·沃什的领导下可能会加息"
datetime: "2026-05-19T04:21:18.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286852758.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286852758.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286852758.md)
---

# 美联储五月的通胀预测大幅上升，2026 年降息的可能性不大

Inflation forecast jumps: Cleveland Fed projects May inflation at 4.18%, with Q2 CPI annualizing at 6.89%, the highest in three years. War impact on prices: Iran war’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz has sent oil prices soaring, pushing U.S. gas prices up at the fastest rate in 30 years. Rate cut hopes fade: The surge has removed chances of 2026 rate cuts, with potential hikes possible under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.

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