--- title: "专家认为,由于全球压力,5% 的抵押贷款利率仍然遥不可及" type: "News" locale: "zh-CN" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286969182.md" description: "平均 30 年期固定抵押贷款利率已上升至约 6.5%,受到通货膨胀和地缘政治紧张局势的影响。专家认为,除非油价、通货膨胀和经济增长发生重大变化,否则降至 5% 的可能性不大。鉴于预测不确定,一些购房者选择锁定当前利率,计划在条件改善时再进行再融资" datetime: "2026-05-19T21:25:18.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286969182.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286969182.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286969182.md) --- # 专家认为,由于全球压力,5% 的抵押贷款利率仍然遥不可及 Rates climb again: Average 30-year fixed mortgage rates are around 6.5%, up from recent lows, as inflation and geopolitical tensions push borrowing costs higher. 5% seen as unlikely: Experts say rates near 5% would require major shifts in oil prices, inflation, and economic growth, making such a drop improbable soon. Buyers weigh timing: With forecasts uncertain, some homebuyers are locking in rates now, accepting they can refinance later if conditions improve. ## 相关资讯与研究 - [到底哪个利率才是全球的无风险利率?](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286661950.md) - [通胀溢价叠加海外压力推升美债收益率,沃什面临通胀回升政治两难---W20 海外宏观脱水](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286689655.md) - [今晚调油价](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287204597.md) - [伊朗战争影响蔓延:欧美按揭贷款利率大幅飙升](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286830249.md) - [国内油价迎年内第八涨,车主加满一箱油多花 3 元,后续油价怎么走](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287191379.md)