---
title: "国际能源署警告，石油市场可能会一直严重供应不足，直到十月份"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287261887.md"
description: "国际能源署（IEA）警告称，全球石油市场将在十月之前仍将严重供不应求，即使海湾冲突迅速解决。霍尔木兹海峡的关闭使波斯湾的产量减少了超过 1400 万桶/天，影响了全球库存。燃料成本的上升预计将加剧全球通胀、食品价格和政治稳定，而石油输出国组织（OPEC）面临内部挑战"
datetime: "2026-05-21T18:47:28.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287261887.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/287261887.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287261887.md)
---

# 国际能源署警告，石油市场可能会一直严重供应不足，直到十月份

Severe supply squeeze: IEA says global oil markets will stay severely undersupplied until October, even if the Gulf conflict ends soon. Historic market shock: Strait of Hormuz closure has cut Persian Gulf output by over 14 million barrels per day, draining global inventories. Economic ripple effects: Rising fuel costs threaten global inflation, food prices, and political stability, while OPEC faces internal fractures.

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