---
title: "随着收益率达到 19 年来的高点，美联储加息的押注激增"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287412040.md"
description: "美国 30 年期国债收益率已达到 19 年来的最高水平，投资者因通胀担忧而抛售债券。市场预期现在显示，到 2026 年 12 月加息的可能性为 70%，并可能在 2027 年随着新任美联储主席 Kevin Warsh 的上任而进一步增加。消费者信心降至历史低点，长期通胀预期上升至 3.9%"
datetime: "2026-05-23T00:19:18.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287412040.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/287412040.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287412040.md)
---

# 随着收益率达到 19 年来的高点，美联储加息的押注激增

Yields hit highs: The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield reached its highest level in 19 years as investors sold off bonds on inflation concerns. Rate hike odds: Markets now see a 70% chance of higher rates by December 2026, with odds climbing further into 2027 under new Fed chair Kevin Warsh. Consumers feel pain: Sentiment fell to record lows in May as long-run inflation expectations rose to 3.9%, reflecting anxiety over persistent price pressures.

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