--- title: "高通胀和财政压力可能会影响债券作为安全资产的角色" type: "News" locale: "zh-CN" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287441246.md" description: "摩根士丹利报告称,当利率超过 2.4% 时,债券失去了对抗通胀的保护作用,而当前通胀率为 3.8%。美国银行指出,日益上升的美国赤字和利息成本导致债券市场抛售,推动长期收益率达到自 2007 年以来未见的水平。新任美联储主席凯文·沃什面临挑战,因为收益率上升增加了债务成本并扩大了赤字" datetime: "2026-05-23T22:01:18.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287441246.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/287441246.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287441246.md) --- # 高通胀和财政压力可能会影响债券作为安全资产的角色 Inflation weakens bond cushion: Morgan Stanley finds bonds lose their shock-absorbing role when inflation exceeds 2.4%, with current inflation at 3.8% keeping risks elevated. Fiscal risks mount: Bank of America warns worsening U.S. deficits and higher interest costs are fueling a bond market selloff, with long-term yields at highs not seen since 2007. Fed chair’s tough debut: New Fed chief Kevin Warsh faces a ‘doom loop’ where rising yields increase debt costs, widen deficits, and trigger more borrowing. ### 相关股票 - [IEF.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/IEF.US.md) - [SHV.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/SHV.US.md) - [TLT.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/TLT.US.md) - [TIP.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/TIP.US.md) - [BIL.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BIL.US.md) - [GOVT.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/GOVT.US.md) - [TBT.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/TBT.US.md) - [TMV.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/TMV.US.md) - [MS.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MS.US.md) - [BAC.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BAC.US.md) - [MS-O.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MS-O.US.md) - [MS-Q.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MS-Q.US.md) - [MS-E.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MS-E.US.md) - [MS-I.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MS-I.US.md) - [MS-L.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MS-L.US.md) - [MS-P.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MS-P.US.md) - [MS-A.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MS-A.US.md) - [MS-F.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MS-F.US.md) - [MS-K.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MS-K.US.md) - [BAC-Q.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BAC-Q.US.md) - [BML-L.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BML-L.US.md) - [BAC-L.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BAC-L.US.md) - [BAC-K.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BAC-K.US.md) - [BML-H.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BML-H.US.md) - [BAC-N.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BAC-N.US.md) - [BAC-E.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BAC-E.US.md) - [MER-K.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MER-K.US.md) - [BAC-O.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BAC-O.US.md) - [BML-G.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BML-G.US.md) - [BAC-M.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BAC-M.US.md) - [BAC-B.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BAC-B.US.md) - [BML-J.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BML-J.US.md) - [BAC-S.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BAC-S.US.md) - [BAC-P.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BAC-P.US.md) - [8648.JP](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/8648.JP.md) ## 相关资讯与研究 - [债市风暴越刮越猛! 花旗预警:30 年期美债收益率下一关口直指 5.5%](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286913959.md) - [炸裂非农 “引爆” 美联储加息预期!美债遭新一轮抛售潮 两年期收益率创 14 个月最大涨幅](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/288913579.md) - [国债市场——失业数据意外向好,收益率小幅回落](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287227456.md) - [美国债务超过国内生产总值,因收益率飙升导致借款成本上升](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/288149671.md) - [美国国债收益率上升,交易员权衡伊朗协议前景与美联储政策](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/289633626.md)