--- title: "世界第二富有的国家在第一季度实现了 6% 的 GDP 增长" type: "News" locale: "zh-CN" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287599263.md" description: "新加坡经济在 2026 年第一季度增长了 6.0%，超出预期，主要受到批发贸易、制造业和金融部门的推动。然而，官员们警告，由于中东冲突影响全球增长，前景有所减弱。中央银行维持稳定的货币政策，出口增长预测上调至 3.0%-5.0%。通胀预测也有所上调，反映出持续的经济挑战" datetime: "2026-05-26T07:57:19.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287599263.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/287599263.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287599263.md) --- # 世界第二富有的国家在第一季度实现了 6% 的 GDP 增长 The annual gross domestic product figure beat an official advance estimate of 4.6%. On a quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted basis, the economy expanded by 1.0% in the January-March period, compared with an advance estimate of a 0.3% contraction. The first quarter growth was mainly driven by wholesale trade, manufacturing and the finance and insurance sectors, supported by strong AI-related demand, the Ministry of Trade ⁠and Industry said. It maintained its economic growth forecast for this year at 2.0% to 4.0%. "Overall, the outlook for the Singapore economy in 2026 has weakened since February," ministry permanent secretary Beh Swan Gin told a press conference. "Downside risks to Singapore's economic outlook have risen significantly and MTI will continue to monitor developments closely and adjust the GDP growth forecast over the course of the year, if necessary." The Middle East conflict has upended global growth and inflation trajectories, throwing interest rate expectations into disarray. As a small trade-dependent hub, Singapore, the world's second-richest country by GDP per capita in 2025 after Switzerland, is especially vulnerable to supply chain disruptions and volatile energy prices. Last month, the central bank tightened monetary policy due to the risk of the Iran war fueling inflation. The central bank had held policy at its previous three quarterly meetings having eased policy last April. Speaking at ‌the same ⁠event on Monday, central bank chief economist Edward Robinson said its current monetary policy stance remains appropriate. "For the Singapore economy, interest rates have been fairly stable, having been down through 2025 and we expect that to continue with the proviso of some stability or some surety to U.S. interest rates going into the second half of this year," Robinson said. Instead of using interest rates, Singapore manages monetary policy by letting the local dollar rise or fall against ⁠currencies of its main trading partners within an undisclosed trading band. Official data released on Monday showed Singapore's non-oil domestic exports expanded 9.6% in Q1 2026, led by the electronics segment with growth of 57.8%. Enterprise Singapore raised its export growth forecast to 3.0% to 5.0%, up from ⁠2.0% to 4.0%, on what it said was resilient AI-related demand. Risks to Singapore from U.S. trade tariffs also remain, however, with the city-state among countries subject to the Trump administration's section 301 investigations. The trade ministry's Beh said Singaporean officials had returned recently from U.S. talks and do ⁠not expect any "positive surprises". Inflation data for April will be released later on Monday. In March, core inflation rose 1.7% from a year earlier, and economists expect a similar reading for April. The central bank in April raised both its core and headline inflation forecasts for 2026 to a range of 1.5% to 2.5%, from 1.0% to 2.0% previously. ### 相关股票 - [EWS.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/EWS.US.md) - [ES3.SG](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/ES3.SG.md) ## 相关资讯与研究 - [波士顿联储：油价冲击不再是美国经济 “杀手” 货币政策应更注重通胀而非就业](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/288786467.md) - [全球仅 20 个富裕国 GDP 超 1 万亿美元，马斯克个人财富规模正在逼近](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/289134555.md) - [27 省份敲定 “十五五” GDP 目标：粤苏或将突破 18 万亿，西藏 7% 增速领跑](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/289026449.md) - [英镑反弹能否持续？全看美国通胀与英国 GDP 脸色](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/289147711.md) - [日本批发通胀加速攀升，创三年新高，能源价格大幅上涨](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/289288939.md)