---
title: "专家警告，由于贸易放缓，市场可能面临即将到来的下行风险"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/288870521.md"
description: "专家警告称，随着世界贸易组织的数据表明全球贸易增长放缓，市场即将面临下行风险。汤姆·李预测，由于能源冲击、美联储领导层变动以及重大首次公开募股，近期将出现修正。此外，加里·希林和塞姆·卡尔桑警告称，持续的高估值和通货膨胀可能导致深度修正或实际回报的长期停滞"
datetime: "2026-06-05T13:27:38.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/288870521.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/288870521.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/288870521.md)
---

# 专家警告，由于贸易放缓，市场可能面临即将到来的下行风险

Trade growth slows: The WTO reports that global goods trade growth may be losing momentum despite strong demand for AI-related components. Market correction risk: Tom Lee foresees a three-phase market cycle with a near-term correction driven by energy shocks, Fed leadership change, and major IPOs. Long-term stagnation threat: Gary Shilling and Cem Karsan warn of possible deep corrections or decade-long real return losses if high valuations and inflation persist.

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