<p>在以色列表示对伊朗的军事目标发动攻击后，油价飙升，威胁到中东脆弱的停火局势，因为结束战争的谈判陷入停滞。</p>
<p>布伦特原油价格一度上涨 4.4%，达到每桶 97.15 美元，而西德克萨斯中质原油价格则跃升至 94 美元以上，随后有所回落。以色列国防军在社交媒体 X 上表示，以色列对伊朗西部和中部的目标进行了打击，此前伊朗向该国发射了几轮导弹。这些攻击是对以色列在黎巴嫩 “停止敌对行动” 的警告。</p>
<p>美国总统唐纳德·特朗普此前在以色列袭击后呼吁伊朗重返谈判，并批评以色列在周日早些时候对贝鲁特的攻击，福克斯新闻报道援引了一次电话交谈。他还单独告诉 Axios，他将敦促以色列总理本杰明·内塔尼亚胡不要进行报复。</p>
<p>过去一周，中东地区的敌对行动升级，威胁到停火协议的落实，并使结束战争的谈判变得复杂。冲突导致霍尔木兹海峡几乎关闭，切断了原油、燃料和天然气对全球客户的供应。</p>
<p>“这个周末以色列和伊朗之间的升级再次向我们展示了停火的脆弱性，” Lipow Oil Associates 的总裁安迪·利波说。“敌对行动的增加导致地缘政治风险加大，霍尔木兹海峡可能会比预期关闭更长时间，同时也提高了伊朗采取额外措施限制红海航运的可能性。”</p>
<p>在周日（6 月 7 日），美国中央司令部表示击落了两架威胁国际海上交通的伊朗攻击无人机，此前在周五向巴林和科威特发射了六枚弹道导弹。这些导弹被拦截，而美国则袭击了伊朗沿海的监视雷达站。</p>
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<p>在推进和平协议的过程中，仍然存在几个关键问题，包括以色列和黎巴嫩之间的平行停火。伊朗要求在达成协议之前先实现停火，最高领袖哈梅内伊的顾问最近告诉 CNN，“球在特朗普的场上。”</p>
<p>美国总统告诉《金融时报》，他的以色列同行必须接受美国与伊朗达成的任何协议。“我掌控一切。我掌控所有事情，” 他说。内塔尼亚胡 “并不掌控一切。”</p>
<p>在 6 月 3 日，以色列和黎巴嫩达成了停火协议，该协议依赖于真主党停止敌对行动，但伊朗支持的民兵拒绝了停火。以色列军队与真主党之间的战斗在周末继续。</p>
<p>另见</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/0b09edf8f048d7f93749e5be6dacdc00a4edb4325704545e39918539978734bb/query-ZHByPTEmZj13ZWJwJnc9MjQw?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/0b09edf8f048d7f93749e5be6dacdc00a4edb4325704545e39918539978734bb/query-ZHByPTEmZj13ZWJwJnc9MjQw"/></p>
<h3>尽管特朗普警告，以色列仍对伊朗发动新一轮攻击</h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/fa676a80f22b200a6f8f5cc913bd42086136b7d82f4ee1f4eff5cb9a770f4014/query-ZHByPTEmZj13ZWJwJnc9MjQw?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/fa676a80f22b200a6f8f5cc913bd42086136b7d82f4ee1f4eff5cb9a770f4014/query-ZHByPTEmZj13ZWJwJnc9MjQw"/></p>
<h3>Opec+ 将增加石油产量，尽管美伊停火仍然遥遥无期</h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/4fd45b0602a9299c052fb6095656eaf334e666b3fcae3dcbd3b9dc239579f1d8/query-ZHByPTEmZj13ZWJwJnc9MjQw?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/4fd45b0602a9299c052fb6095656eaf334e666b3fcae3dcbd3b9dc239579f1d8/query-ZHByPTEmZj13ZWJwJnc9MjQw"/></p>
<h3>全球航空公司因伊朗战争导致燃料冲击下调 2026 年利润预测</h3>
<p>“市场低估了相关各方之间的分歧有多大，” 位于芝加哥的 Karobaar Capital 首席投资官哈里斯·库尔希德表示。“市场在定价协议和定价现实之间摇摆不定，现实是双方的核心立场并没有真正改变。每当乐观情绪过于超前于事实时，油价就会反弹。”</p>
<p>即使达成美伊和平协议，多个障碍仍将阻碍石油流动的正常恢复。其中，霍尔木兹海峡的水雷必须被清除，停产的油田可能需要数月才能重新启动，能源基础设施因无人机和导弹袭击而造成的损坏也需要修复。</p>
<p>此外，Opec+ 同意将 7 月份的石油产量配额再增加 18.8 万桶/天，尽管波斯湾的出口阻塞使大多数国家无法实施这一决定。彭博社</p>
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美国布伦特原油期货基金

2 倍做多彭博原油 ETF - ProShares

F三星原油期

德银原油基金 - PowerShares

美国 WTI 原油 ETF

FGX原油

<p>油价飙升，布伦特原油上涨 4.4%，达到每桶 97.15 美元，此次上涨是由于以色列对伊朗的军事目标发动攻击，导致中东紧张局势升级，并威胁到脆弱的停火协议。冲突有可能关闭霍尔木兹海峡，扰乱全球能源供应。尽管美国总统特朗普呼吁降温，但敌对行动仍在继续，复杂化了和平谈判，并提高了油市的地缘政治风险</p>

<p>OIL surged after Israel said it struck military targets in Iran, threatening a fragile ceasefire in the Middle East as talks to end the war falter.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在以色列表示对伊朗的军事目标发动攻击后，油价飙升，威胁到中东脆弱的停火局势，因为结束战争的谈判陷入停滞。</p>
</div><p>Brent spiked as much as 4.4 per cent to US$97.15 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate jumped above US$94 before trimming some gains. Israel hit targets in western and central Iran, the country’s defence forces said on X, after Iran earlier fired several rounds of missiles toward the nation. Those attacks were a warning to to Israel to “cease their hostile actions” in Lebanon.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>布伦特原油价格一度上涨 4.4%，达到每桶 97.15 美元，而西德克萨斯中质原油价格则跃升至 94 美元以上，随后有所回落。以色列国防军在社交媒体 X 上表示，以色列对伊朗西部和中部的目标进行了打击，此前伊朗向该国发射了几轮导弹。这些攻击是对以色列在黎巴嫩 “停止敌对行动” 的警告。</p>
</div><p>US President Donald Trump had earlier urged Iran to return to talks after the Israeli strikes, and had criticised Israel for earlier attacking Beirut on Sunday, Fox News reported, citing a phone conversation. He separately told Axios he would press Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu not to retaliate.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美国总统唐纳德·特朗普此前在以色列袭击后呼吁伊朗重返谈判，并批评以色列在周日早些时候对贝鲁特的攻击，福克斯新闻报道援引了一次电话交谈。他还单独告诉 Axios，他将敦促以色列总理本杰明·内塔尼亚胡不要进行报复。</p>
</div><p>There has been a flare up in hostilities over the past week across the Middle East that is threatening to derail the truce and complicate negotiations to end the war. The conflict has led to the near-closure of the crucial Strait of Hormuz, choking off supplies of crude, fuels and natural gas to global customers.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>过去一周，中东地区的敌对行动升级，威胁到停火协议的落实，并使结束战争的谈判变得复杂。冲突导致霍尔木兹海峡几乎关闭，切断了原油、燃料和天然气对全球客户的供应。</p>
</div><p>“This weekend’s escalation between Israel and Iran shows us once again how fragile the ceasefire is,” said Andy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates. “Increased hostilities result in a greater geopolitical risk that the strait could be closed longer than expected, while raising the odds that Iran could take additional steps to restrict shipping in the Red Sea.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“这个周末以色列和伊朗之间的升级再次向我们展示了停火的脆弱性，” Lipow Oil Associates 的总裁安迪·利波说。“敌对行动的增加导致地缘政治风险加大，霍尔木兹海峡可能会比预期关闭更长时间，同时也提高了伊朗采取额外措施限制红海航运的可能性。”</p>
</div><p>On Sunday (Jun 7), US Central Command said it downed two Iranian attack drones that threatened international maritime traffic in Hormuz, which followed six ballistic missiles fired at Bahrain and Kuwait on Friday. Those were intercepted, while the US struck Iranian coastal surveillance radar sites.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在周日（6 月 7 日），美国中央司令部表示击落了两架威胁国际海上交通的伊朗攻击无人机，此前在周五向巴林和科威特发射了六枚弹道导弹。这些导弹被拦截，而美国则袭击了伊朗沿海的监视雷达站。</p>
</div><h3>Asean Intelligence</h3>
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</div><p>Several sticking points remain to progressing a peace deal, including a parallel ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon. Iran has demanded a truce there before an accord can be reached, and an adviser to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei recently told CNN that “the ball is in Trump’s court.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在推进和平协议的过程中，仍然存在几个关键问题，包括以色列和黎巴嫩之间的平行停火。伊朗要求在达成协议之前先实现停火，最高领袖哈梅内伊的顾问最近告诉 CNN，“球在特朗普的场上。”</p>
</div><p>The US president told the Financial Times that his Israeli counterpart would have to accept any deal the US strikes with Iran. “I call the shots. I call all the shots,” he said. Netanyahu “doesn’t call the shots.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美国总统告诉《金融时报》，他的以色列同行必须接受美国与伊朗达成的任何协议。“我掌控一切。我掌控所有事情，” 他说。内塔尼亚胡 “并不掌控一切。”</p>
</div><p>On Jun 3, Israel and Lebanon agreed to a truce, which hinged on Hizbollah halting hostilities, but the Iran-backed militia rejected the ceasefire. Fighting between Israeli troops and Hizbollah continued over the weekend.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 6 月 3 日，以色列和黎巴嫩达成了停火协议，该协议依赖于真主党停止敌对行动，但伊朗支持的民兵拒绝了停火。以色列军队与真主党之间的战斗在周末继续。</p>
</div><p>SEE ALSO</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另见</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/0b09edf8f048d7f93749e5be6dacdc00a4edb4325704545e39918539978734bb/query-ZHByPTEmZj13ZWJwJnc9MjQw" alt="" original-src="https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/0b09edf8f048d7f93749e5be6dacdc00a4edb4325704545e39918539978734bb?w=240&amp;dpr=1&amp;f=webp"/></p>
<h3>Israel hits Iran with new strikes despite Trump admonition</h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3>尽管特朗普警告，以色列仍对伊朗发动新一轮攻击</h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/fa676a80f22b200a6f8f5cc913bd42086136b7d82f4ee1f4eff5cb9a770f4014/query-ZHByPTEmZj13ZWJwJnc9MjQw" alt="" original-src="https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/fa676a80f22b200a6f8f5cc913bd42086136b7d82f4ee1f4eff5cb9a770f4014?w=240&amp;dpr=1&amp;f=webp"/></p>
<h3>Opec+ to boost oil production as US-Iran ceasefire remains elusive</h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3>Opec+ 将增加石油产量，尽管美伊停火仍然遥遥无期</h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/4fd45b0602a9299c052fb6095656eaf334e666b3fcae3dcbd3b9dc239579f1d8/query-ZHByPTEmZj13ZWJwJnc9MjQw" alt="" original-src="https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/4fd45b0602a9299c052fb6095656eaf334e666b3fcae3dcbd3b9dc239579f1d8?w=240&amp;dpr=1&amp;f=webp"/></p>
<h3>Global airlines slash 2026 profit forecast on fuel shock from Iran war</h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3>全球航空公司因伊朗战争导致燃料冲击下调 2026 年利润预测</h3>
</div><p>“The market was underestimating how far apart the parties involved still really were,” said Haris Khurshid, chief investment officer at Chicago-based Karobaar Capital. “The market keeps oscillating between pricing a deal and pricing the reality that neither side has really changed its core position. Every time optimism gets a little too far ahead of the facts, oil snaps back.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“市场低估了相关各方之间的分歧有多大，” 位于芝加哥的 Karobaar Capital 首席投资官哈里斯·库尔希德表示。“市场在定价协议和定价现实之间摇摆不定，现实是双方的核心立场并没有真正改变。每当乐观情绪过于超前于事实时，油价就会反弹。”</p>
</div><p>Even if a US-Iran peace deal is agreed, multiple hurdles will impede normal resumption of oil flows. Among them, mines in Hormuz must be removed, shut-in fields may take months to restart, and damage to energy infrastructure from drone and missile strikes needs to be repaired.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>即使达成美伊和平协议，多个障碍仍将阻碍石油流动的正常恢复。其中，霍尔木兹海峡的水雷必须被清除，停产的油田可能需要数月才能重新启动，能源基础设施因无人机和导弹袭击而造成的损坏也需要修复。</p>
</div><p>Separately, Opec+ agreed to another increase to their oil output quotas for July of 188,000 barrels a day, even as a blockage of exports from the Persian Gulf prevents most of them from implementing it. BLOOMBERG</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此外，Opec+ 同意将 7 月份的石油产量配额再增加 18.8 万桶/天，尽管波斯湾的出口阻塞使大多数国家无法实施这一决定。彭博社</p>
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以色列在遭受导弹袭击后对伊朗进行报复，导致油价飙升