---
type: "Topics"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/24441615.md"
description: "$Strategy(MSTR.US) $Coinbase(COIN.US) Today's content exceeds the word limit. Full text reference: https://longportapp.cn/zh-CN/topics/24441573.Today is October 12th, and the #Bitcoin market has entered a critical phase. Let's analyze it.First of all, today's analysis is extremely valuable—every word is worth its weight in gold. Don't regret missing it! Bitcoin's market has entered a crucial stage, and today we'll discuss its trend during this phase. The analysis is packed with insights. If you like it, don't forget to share, like, and comment—give everyone a "chance to benefit together." If you don't like it, no worries—you're always welcome to come back and check it out later!Looking back to mid-March this year, after I accurately identified 73.7k as the 阶段性顶部 (stage top), Bitcoin seemed to have taken a "sedative,"横盘震荡 (sideways 震荡) for half a year. This half-year period was practically a classic "triple three-wave"横盘调整 (sideways adjustment). Think this is the market's "calm period"? Actually, it's quietly 积蓄力量 (accumulating strength), ready to surge at any moment! After reading the following analysis, you'll understand the trick behind this move.Now, let's get to the point. The question all Bitcoin traders face now is: When will Bitcoin's adjustment end? When will the next bull market arrive?Today, we boldly hypothesize—Bitcoin's sideways adjustment may already be over! We're in the early stages of a bull market 起点 (starting point)! Yes, that confident. Why? Here's the analysis—Since the March peak of 73.7k, we believe Bitcoin has undergone a typical triple three-wave 横向调整 (lateral adjustment) (marked as wxyxz, with white 主浪线标注 in the chart). Based on the current trend, wave z likely concluded around 52.5k. Starting from 52.5k, a five-wave 上涨结构 (rising structure) has emerged, numbered 12345 (marked with purple lines in the chart), followed by a typical ABC 锯齿型调整 (zigzag adjustment) (marked with white lines in the chart). 58.9k is highly likely to be the end of this adjustment, and Bitcoin has a high probability of entering the next 上涨推动浪 (rising impulse wave). Starting to feel excited?Of course, no one can 完全预测 (fully predict) how the market will ultimately move. But we can use the following "观测神器 (observation tools)" to determine whether the market has truly entered the 主升浪 (main rising wave):Break through the green 虚线压力位 (dotted resistance line): Observe the green 虚线压力位 (dotted resistance line) of purple wave 5 and white wave B. If it's effectively 突破 (broken through), congratulations—the probability of a 主升浪 (main rising wave) skyrockets!Observe the 突破 (breakthrough) of the white wave B 顶点 (peak): If the white wave B 顶点 (peak) is successfully 突破 (broken through), it basically confirms—the bull market has "departed" again. Don't get left behind!In short, Bitcoin's adjustment may already be over. Now, it's just a matter of whether it will take us into a new bull market. Let's count our money with smiles in this bull market! 💰💸The above is for technical analysis discussion only and should not be taken as 实盘交易参考 (live trading reference)!"
datetime: "2024-10-12T13:10:26.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/24441615.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/24441615.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/24441615.md)
author: "[BTCFREE](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/profiles/11280193.md)"
---

> 支持的语言: [English](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/24441615.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/24441615.md)


# $Strategy(MSTR.US) $Coinbase(COIN.US) Today's cont…


### 相关股票

- [Strategy (MSTR.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MSTR.US.md)
- [Coinbase (COIN.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/COIN.US.md)

## 评论 (31)

- **你还年轻，三千万不够 · 2024-10-16T17:03:26.000Z**: 含金量还在不断增加
- **Allmoneybacktohome · 2024-10-16T10:19:19.000Z**: This wave is looking at the current 1.5x
- **發發財 · 2024-10-15T19:48:38.000Z**: OP, what's the structure of the z-wave? Zigzag?
- **BTCFREE · 2024-10-14T04:17:09.000Z · 👍 3**: $Strategy(MSTR.US) 后面找机会，对于何谓 3 波的 2 浪回撤做个详细解析～@好孩子
  - **好孩子** (2024-10-14T05:02:41.000Z): Thanks 😘😘
  - **交易员的交易员** (2024-10-14T10:29:59.000Z): 意思是等回撤嘛，大佬。
  - **BTCFREE** (2024-10-14T10:37:33.000Z): 3.2 昨晚已经完成
- **好孩子 · 2024-10-13T17:22:38.000Z**: Humbly asking: What does wave 3-2 mean? Didn't get it 😂
- **發發財 · 2024-10-13T16:27:35.000Z**: This wave will reach at least 67,000.
- **發發財 · 2024-10-13T16:27:02.000Z**: 61,000 full position long
- **韭菜出海 · 2024-10-13T03:50:40.000Z**: 老粉紧跟大佬脚步
- **馒头_ · 2024-10-12T17:23:29.000Z · 👍 1**: 老师现在还能上车吗
- **balance丶 · 2024-10-12T14:47:10.000Z**: mstr 现在 210 上车不晚吧
  - **文帛** (2024-10-12T15:58:03.000Z): 时间放长完全是地位，但我看大佬动态意思有一点等一波小回调然后坚定持有？。当然交易终究看自己，大佬说话老严谨的，自己也要理解
  - **文帛** (2024-10-12T15:58:11.000Z): low position
  - **BTCFREE** (2024-10-12T16:19:59.000Z): 3.2 是上车机会
- **江東 · 2024-10-12T13:37:09.000Z · 👍 2**: 字字珠玑 会反复观看 感谢大佬分享
- **一杯苍谷落日 · 2024-10-12T13:27:43.000Z · 👍 2**: 蓄力一波要冲 300-400 了
- **慕尘 · 2024-10-12T13:15:42.000Z**: 感谢大佬的分享，想知道大佬所说的观测神器是什么👀
  - **BTCFREE** (2024-10-12T16:19:21.000Z): Look carefully~
  - **不要频繁浇花** (2024-10-13T16:00:25.000Z): You should study more too 😅
- **多学习少冲动 · 2024-10-12T13:11:45.000Z · 👍 4**: First! Supporting the big shot, thanks for sharing.