--- title: "📉 Xiaomi Group's Next Week Outlook: After peaking at 37.50, will the 'high-altitude dive' be a deep pit or a rebound trap?" type: "Topics" locale: "zh-CN" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/38801471.md" description: "All hardcore traders, $XIAOMI-W(01810.HK) has recently experienced a continuous decline from 37.50 to 35.36, leaving many long positions "eating noodles in the dark." After quantitative indicator analysis, the logic for next week's trend is very clear—this is a typical composite structure of "oversold rebound + second dip." The following is a technical projection based on the 15-minute to daily chart levels. It is recommended to save it first and then check the table: 📊 Market Status: Momentum exhausted, spring compressed to the extreme • Extremely oversold: The K value of the 15-minute KDJ has fallen to 10.9, entering the dull zone..." datetime: "2026-02-20T12:32:05.000Z" locales: - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/38801471.md) - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/38801471.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/38801471.md) author: "[三鹿奶粉](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/profiles/18038012.md)" --- > 支持的语言: [English](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/38801471.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/38801471.md) # 📉 Xiaomi Group's Next Week Outlook: After peaking at 37.50, will the 'high-altitude dive' be a deep pit or a rebound trap? All hardcore traders, the recent wave of consecutive declines from 37.50 to 35.36 in $XIAOMI-W(01810.HK) has left many long positions "eating noodles in the dark." After quantitative indicator analysis, the logic for next week's trend is very clear—**this is a typical composite structure of "oversold rebound + secondary decline."** The following is a technical deduction based on 15-minute to daily chart levels. It is recommended to save this first and then compare with the market: #### 📊 Market Status: Momentum Exhausted, Spring Compressed to Extremes • **Extreme Oversold:** The K value of the 15-minute KDJ has fallen to **10.9**, entering the overbought zone. • **Chip Collapse:** The 2/20 daily candle penetrated the MA20 (35.66) with high volume, breaking the support. • **Core Support:** The current stock price is falling back to the **VPOC dense area (35.26-35.37)**, which is the core cost zone of previous long-short battles, providing short-term technical support. #### ⏱️ Next Week's "Rhythm Map": Precise Timing (Important Node Alerts) We divide next week's momentum release into three stages. Please focus on the corresponding time periods: 1️⃣ **Monday to Tuesday:【Low Volume Recovery Period】** ⚖️ Due to the closure of the Stock Connect (for Hong Kong) on Monday, the market is in an "oxygen-deprived" state, and volatility will significantly decrease. It is expected to trade sideways with extremely low volume within the 35.00-35.40 range. As the Stock Connect resumes on Tuesday, oversold forces will drive the price for a technical retest of the MA20 (35.66). 2️⃣ **Wednesday:【Weekly Momentum Peak · Long-Short Battle Day】** 🔑 This is the most critical window of the week! **Technical analysis predicts a strong long pulse in the morning**, targeting the 36.00-36.30 area. • **Note:** This is highly likely a \*\*"long trap."\*\* Because the daily chart KDJ death cross has formed, the MA5 (36.50) above acts as a heavy pressure. If the price surges with high volume but cannot hold, it will be the best time for shorts to enter or longs to reduce positions. 3️⃣ **Thursday to Friday:【Momentum Exhaustion and Shakeout Risk】** ⚠️ Rebound momentum will be locked on Thursday, leading to stagnation. **Friday is the week's biggest "liquidity sell-off risk day."** After 3:00 PM, short-side resonance may occur, retesting the 35.00 psychological level, and even probing 34.80 for support. #### 🎯 Four-Dimensional Tactical Operation Suggestions **【Plan A: Aggressive · Left-Side Bottom Fishing】** 🛡️ • **Entry:** Build positions in batches when a stop-falling signal appears in the 35.00-35.20 range on Monday/Tuesday. • **Risk: Left-side trading carries extreme risk!** This is a counter-trend bet for a rebound, highly susceptible to continued downward momentum. • **Position Control:** Heavy positions are strictly forbidden! It is recommended to keep the base position below **15%**. • **Defense:** Unconditionally stop loss if it falls below 34.70. **【Plan B: Conservative · Right-Side Ambush】** ⚔️ • **Entry:** Give up the small profits in the first half of the week. Wait until Wednesday's surge above 36.00 and subsequent pullback, or act after Friday's sharp drop stabilizes. • **Logic:** Follow the major adjustment trend on the daily chart, either taking a short position in the high resistance zone for a "rebound confirmation" or buying back after Friday's accelerated bottoming. #### 💡 Hidden Element Summary Xiaomi's current form is like "landing unsteadily due to jumping too high." The current fall has not yet hit bottom. **Wednesday is the week's "false high," and Friday is the week's "true pressure."** Traders need to remain patient. Remember: all low-volume rallies near descending resistance levels are opportunities for you to exit, not reasons to chase the rise. #XiaomiGroup #HKStockTechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #HardcoreTechnical #CandlestickChartAnalysis #InvestmentNotes **⚠️ Disclaimer:** The above analysis is solely based on deductions from quantitative technical models (such as ATR, KDJ, VPOC, etc.) and does not constitute any investment advice. Market fluctuations are influenced by various factors, and past performance does not indicate future results. Trading carries risks, and investment requires caution. Please make independent decisions based on your own risk tolerance. ### 相关股票 - [XIAOMI-W (01810.HK)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/01810.HK.md) - [Xiaomi Corporation (XIACY.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/XIACY.US.md) - [XIAOMI-WR (81810.HK)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/81810.HK.md) - [Xiaomi HK SDR 2to1 (HXXD.SG)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/HXXD.SG.md) ## 评论 (11) - **卷心旅途 · 2026-02-20T14:42:54.000Z**: My cost basis is at 38.6, I've been holding it for a month, little bro you let me down, I'll start averaging down if it drops another 15 points. - **三鹿奶粉** (2026-02-20T14:52:59.000Z): This bottoming range will last for several months, just do T when you should, don't get too attached to your positions. - **深山不记年 · 2026-02-20T13:43:48.000Z**: Boss, so it's range-bound now, right? Feels like the platform around 35 should have stabilized. - **三鹿奶粉** (2026-02-20T13:50:19.000Z): If I say the low point is around 30, would you be scared? 🫣 - **三鹿奶粉** (2026-02-20T13:50:30.000Z): But not this week - **刘一！** (2026-02-20T14:01:25.000Z): That's too ridiculous. They were saying it had turned around just two weeks ago 😢. Recently, I've been focusing on adding to my position.