---
type: "Topics"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39236836.md"
description: "$NIO Inc(NIO.US) This stock has absolutely no chance of rising to $20 again in the next 2 years; it's been diluted too much."
datetime: "2026-03-13T01:02:34.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39236836.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39236836.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39236836.md)
author: "[稳步前行者](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/profiles/12265305.md)"
---

> 支持的语言: [English](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39236836.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39236836.md)


# $NIO Inc(NIO.US) This stock has absolutely no chan…


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- [NIO Inc. USD OV (NIO.SG)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/NIO.SG.md)
- [NIO Inc (NIO.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/NIO.US.md)

## 评论 (18)

- **美股小作手 · 2026-03-13T02:07:23.000Z · 👍 1**: No one ever said this stock would rise to $20 within two years.
  - **稳步前行者** (2026-03-13T02:12:17.000Z): But many people's ingrained mindset is that it can still rise to 60.
  - **最酷的小虎** (2026-03-13T02:20:02.000Z): That era should be gone for good.
  - **美股小作手** (2026-03-13T02:28:57.000Z): Then why do you care about him.....
- **坚定看好蔚来 · 2026-03-13T01:09:02.000Z**: $20 is roughly equivalent to a market cap of about 400 billion RMB. According to the current valuation method SP1.0, Nio would need an annual revenue of 400 billion RMB, meaning it would have to sell 2 million cars a year?
  - **最酷的小虎** (2026-03-13T01:36:34.000Z): Can I ask if it's calculated this way? Based on current sales, the comparable price is only about 6 dollars.
  - **坚定看好蔚来** (2026-03-13T01:47:10.000Z): In the automotive industry, unprofitable companies are generally valued by price-to-sales ratio. Traditional automakers are given 0.8, while new entrants typically range from 0.8 to 10. I understand t
  - **坚定看好蔚来** (2026-03-13T01:48:42.000Z): I just made a rough calculation off the top of my head, it's not accurate, but based on this year's performance forecast, there's definitely at least a 30% increase.