---
type: "Topics"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39252055.md"
description: "I analyzed the situation before, two weeks, and now it's almost at its limit. The negative sentiment is gradually fading away... A war of the new paradigm will not evolve into a full-scale war. When panic was spreading, some were boasting that oil prices would reach 200... This is an analysis based on outdated logic, emotional pricing, and without the support of supply and demand, it is destined to be short-lived."
datetime: "2026-03-13T14:34:00.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39252055.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39252055.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39252055.md)
author: "[AngerBird](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/profiles/13017810.md)"
---

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# I analyzed the situation before, two weeks, and no…


## 评论 (13)

- **blue whale · 2026-03-13T17:20:43.000Z**: The analysis is spot on, but my perspective comes from a different angle. From Trump's point of view, Iran possesses a large amount of enriched uranium, controls the Strait of Hormuz, its regime is extremely anti-American and anti-Israel, and the supreme leader's parents and wife (Larijani's daughte
- **悟开 · 2026-03-13T16:20:13.000Z**: Leveraging the strait to control shipping lanes is a classic case of using a small stake to win big; the supply-demand support is indeed not just empty talk.
- **invincible steak · 2026-03-13T14:53:16.000Z**: I don't know if some people are living in a dream, still thinking that as soon as the US military exerts its strength, the Persian mullahs will be wiped out. After so many years of proxy wars up to now, can't you recognize the facts? Your American troops simply don't have that capability! Predicting
  - **AngerBird** (2026-03-13T14:54:56.000Z): There's absolutely no need to deploy ground troops; it's just empty talk.
- **余哥稳又富 · 2026-03-13T14:48:24.000Z**: Has it really subsided? At least not on the trading screen.
- **作手叶真 · 2026-03-13T14:48:20.000Z · 👍 1**: Oil prices have rebounded again, with the index continuing to surge higher before falling back.
- **AG5 · 2026-03-13T14:36:23.000Z · 👍 1**: The next two weeks of the war process are likely to accelerate, after all, Trump is rushing to visit China by the end of March.
- **喜欢丑的 · 2026-03-13T14:35:45.000Z**: Bro, are we still adding more in this situation tonight?
  - **AngerBird** (2026-03-13T14:37:06.000Z): You decide, I currently have a relatively heavy position.
  - **Rayn24** (2026-03-13T14:42:34.000Z): How much
  - **新用户_ualhdq路** (2026-03-13T14:44:00.000Z): There's a high probability of conflict over the weekend, suggestion: play it safe.