--- type: "Topics" locale: "zh-CN" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39621514.md" description: "There are always people who like to backtest historical data, but often they don't do it right. What we should be benchmarking against now are actually 2018 and 2022, also a world with Donald Trump, also a midterm election year. Then it's easy to conclude that this year is very likely to be a bear market." datetime: "2026-03-30T15:52:08.000Z" locales: - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39621514.md) - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39621514.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39621514.md) author: "[浩浩小课堂](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/profiles/19784218.md)" --- > 支持的语言: [English](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39621514.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39621514.md) # There are always people who like to backtest histo…