---
title: "Institution: S&P 500 Index may drop by 26% next year"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-HK"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/216910774.md"
description: "Stifel, Nicolaus & Co.'s strategist Barry Bannister predicts that the S&P 500 index will rise by another 10%, then fall to 4700 points in early 2024, a 26% drop from the expected peak of 6400 points. Despite the market's optimism about the U.S. economy and the Fed's rate cuts, he believes that the index has risen too high. He was one of the few to predict the stock market trend in the first half of 2023, but his bearish forecast did not materialize"
datetime: "2024-10-15T21:51:12.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/216910774.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/216910774.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/216910774.md)
---

> 支持的語言: [简体中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/216910774.md) | [English](https://longbridge.com/en/news/216910774.md)


# Institution: S&P 500 Index may drop by 26% next year

Barry Bannister of Stifel, Nicolaus & Co. predicts that the S&P 500 index is expected to climb another 10%, then change course next year and fall to early 2024 levels. Despite market optimism about the U.S. economy and the Fed's rate cuts, this benchmark index, which has risen by nearly 40% since October last year, is considered too overbought. Analysis of the century-old market frenzy suggests that the S&P 500 index could rise to around 6400 points, then fall back to around 4700 points in 2025, a 26% drop from the expected peak to early this year. He was one of the few to forecast the stock market trend in the first half of 2023, but his bearish predictions have not materialized since then

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