---
title: "The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 71%"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-HK"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/219127947.md"
description: "According to CME's \"FedWatch\": The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate until December is 29%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 71%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate until January next year is 16.6%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 53%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 30.4%"
datetime: "2024-11-07T22:05:12.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/219127947.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/219127947.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/219127947.md)
---

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# The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 71%

According to Jinshi Data on November 8, the CME "FedWatch" indicates that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the current interest rate until December is 29%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 71%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate until January next year is 16.6%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 53%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 30.4%

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