---
title: "The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is expected to break 5%, and Citigroup has stated that a buying opportunity is coming!"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-HK"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/224294612.md"
description: "Citigroup predicts that the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond is expected to break 5%, and believes this is a good buying opportunity. With economic growth, the yield has soared from 3.60% in September to 4.70%. The delay in investors' expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve has driven yields higher. The options market also indicates that yields could reach 5%. Citigroup expects the benchmark yield to be around 4.75% by the end of the year. Analysts at BlackRock also believe that higher bond yields are attractive"
datetime: "2025-01-08T09:04:05.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/224294612.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/224294612.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/224294612.md)
---

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# The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is expected to break 5%, and Citigroup has stated that a buying opportunity is coming!

The Zhitong Finance APP noted that Citigroup stated that with the booming economy, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond may further rise to 5%, a level that will provide buying opportunities.

Citigroup's Chief Investment Strategist and Chief Economist Steven Wieting commented on the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield: "It is certainly possible to approach 5% this year." "We believe that a yield of 5% is indeed very attractive."

As investors prepare for inflation policies during Trump's second term as U.S. president, the yield surged from a low of 3.60% in September to around 4.70% on Tuesday. The resilience of the economy prompted traders to push back expectations for the Federal Reserve's next rate cut by a quarter of a percentage point to July, leading to a reevaluation of how high yields could actually rise.

![image.png](https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20250108/1736325093279939.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg)

The options market also indicates that the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury may soar to 5%—the highest level since October 2023. The highly anticipated non-farm payroll data will be released on Friday, and if the data exceeds expectations, it could provide another reason for Treasury traders to sell off.

Wieting does not consider a yield of 5% to be a baseline forecast. Citigroup expects the benchmark yield to be around 4.75% by the end of this year, with the federal funds rate around 3.75%.

Navin Saigal, Head of Asia-Pacific Fixed Income at BlackRock, also believes that higher U.S. bond yields are attractive.

"The rebound in yields is certainly a bit painful," Saigal said. "But to some extent, it can also be seen as a gift—there is still a lot of cash sitting idle, and now this cash can be put to use."

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