---
title: "穆迪表示，印度的增長將在發達和新興 G20 國家中位居首位"
description: "穆迪預計，儘管印度在 2025 財年的增長率為 6.7%，到 2026 財年略微下降至 6.5%，但其增長仍將是發達和新興 G20 國家中最高的。這一增長得益於税收措施和貨幣寬鬆，包括個人所得税減免的增加和政策回購利率的降低。報告強調，印度憑藉其龐大的以國內市場為導向的經濟和可觀的外匯儲備，具備吸引全球資本的強大優勢，同時也指出了較小、更加開放經濟體所面臨的挑戰"
type: "news"
locale: "zh-HK"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/234068029.md"
published_at: "2025-04-01T13:15:53.000Z"
---

# 穆迪表示，印度的增長將在發達和新興 G20 國家中位居首位

> 穆迪預計，儘管印度在 2025 財年的增長率為 6.7%，到 2026 財年略微下降至 6.5%，但其增長仍將是發達和新興 G20 國家中最高的。這一增長得益於税收措施和貨幣寬鬆，包括個人所得税減免的增加和政策回購利率的降低。報告強調，印度憑藉其龐大的以國內市場為導向的經濟和可觀的外匯儲備，具備吸引全球資本的強大優勢，同時也指出了較小、更加開放經濟體所面臨的挑戰

Global credit rating agency Moody’s on Tuesday said that India’s growth, despite slowing to 6.5 per cent in FY26 from 6.7 per cent in FY25, will remain the highest among the advanced and emerging G20 countries due to support from tax measures and continued monetary easing.

“India's growth will remain the highest of the advanced and emerging G20 countries, supported by tax measures and continued easing,” the global credit rating agency noted in its latest report on emerging markets.

In February, the government in the Union Budget hiked the income tax rebate to Rs 12 lakh from Rs 7 lakh. Also, the central bank’s rate-setting panel slashed the policy repo rate by 25 basis points to 6.25 per cent, marking the first reduction in almost five years.

Besides, the report also noted that large emerging markets such as India and Brazil are better positioned to attract and retain global capital in risk-averse conditions because of their large and domestically oriented economies, deep domestic capital markets, moderate policy credibility and substantial foreign exchange reserves.

“By contrast, smaller and more open economies are more exposed to fluctuations in investor sentiment and currency volatility, as are economies with a large share of debt denominated in foreign currency, such as Argentina and Colombia,” the report noted.

On the inflation front, the report projected India’s inflation to average 4.5 per cent in the current financial year, down from 4.9 per cent in FY25.

The report also noted that emerging markets are "exposed to choppy waters" from the churn of United States policies and their potential to reshape global capital flows, supply chains, trade and geopolitics.

“Large emerging markets have resources to navigate the turbulence. But smaller, open emerging markets are more vulnerable because they rely more on cross-border trade and investment for growth. Differentiation among emerging markets in terms of economic growth, financing conditions and currency volatility will become more pronounced as United States policies continue to shift, with potentially far-reaching credit implications,” the report noted.

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