---
title: "高盛改變對 OPEC+ 的產油預測 現預計 8 月將第四次增產"
description: "高盛集團預計 OPEC+ 將在 8 月連續第四個月增產，改變了之前暫停增產的預測。分析師指出，現貨原油市場緊張、全球經濟活動強勁以及夏季需求支撐是增產的利好因素。預計需求放緩不足以阻止增產決策。"
type: "news"
locale: "zh-HK"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/242771966.md"
published_at: "2025-06-02T10:02:02.000Z"
---

# 高盛改變對 OPEC+ 的產油預測 現預計 8 月將第四次增產

> 高盛集團預計 OPEC+ 將在 8 月連續第四個月增產，改變了之前暫停增產的預測。分析師指出，現貨原油市場緊張、全球經濟活動強勁以及夏季需求支撐是增產的利好因素。預計需求放緩不足以阻止增產決策。

高盛集團表示，預計石油輸出國組織及其盟友 (OPEC+) 將在 8 月連續第四個月增加石油產量，改變了該機構早前認為的 OPEC+ 在週末會議後將暫停增產的觀點。“相對吃緊的現貨原油基本面、強於預期的全球經濟活動數據，以及夏季對原油需求的季節性支撐” 均構成利好，包括 Daan Struyven 在內的分析師在報告中指出。“預計需求放緩的幅度不足以在 7 月 6 日決定 8 月產量水平時阻止增產。”

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