---
title: "CME Predicts High Probability of Fed Rate Cut in December"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-HK"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/268493557.md"
description: "According to ChainCatcher, CME's 'FedWatch' tool indicates an 89% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December, with an 11% chance of maintaining the current rate. By January next year, the likelihood of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut stands at 64.8%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 7.6%. Additionally, there is a 27.6% chance of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut."
datetime: "2025-12-03T22:13:46.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/268493557.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/268493557.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/268493557.md)
---

> 支持的語言: [简体中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/268493557.md) | [English](https://longbridge.com/en/news/268493557.md)


# CME Predicts High Probability of Fed Rate Cut in December

According to ChainCatcher, CME's 'FedWatch' tool indicates an 89% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December, with an 11% chance of maintaining the current rate. By January next year, the likelihood of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut stands at 64.8%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 7.6%. Additionally, there is a 27.6% chance of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut.

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