--- title: "AMD 股票面臨崩盤風險：估值和市場波動即將來臨" description: "AMD 股票面臨因高估值、英偉達競爭和市場波動而導致的崩盤風險。儘管基本面強勁，但地緣政治緊張局勢和半導體供應鏈波動威脅着投資者信心。歷史數據顯示，AMD 對急劇下跌的脆弱性，過去曾出現高達 92% 的跌幅。目前的風險包括人工智能競爭、CPU 市場壓力和宏觀地緣政治問題。AMD 的市盈率為 79.6，過去 12 個月的收入增長為 31.8%。建議採用多資產投資組合以降低單一市場風險" type: "news" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/268785174.md" published_at: "2025-12-05T16:56:11.000Z" --- # AMD 股票面臨崩盤風險：估值和市場波動即將來臨 > AMD 股票面臨因高估值、英偉達競爭和市場波動而導致的崩盤風險。儘管基本面強勁，但地緣政治緊張局勢和半導體供應鏈波動威脅着投資者信心。歷史數據顯示，AMD 對急劇下跌的脆弱性，過去曾出現高達 92% 的跌幅。目前的風險包括人工智能競爭、CPU 市場壓力和宏觀地緣政治問題。AMD 的市盈率為 79.6，過去 12 個月的收入增長為 31.8%。建議採用多資產投資組合以降低單一市場風險 Money Markets Why AMD Stock Could Plunge Despite Strong Fundamentals ByTrefis Team , Contributor. Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Building a platform to do the job of 1 million analysts for Great Speculations Follow Author Dec 05, 2025, 11:25am EST Dec 05, 2025, 11:56am EST Share Save Comment AMD Stock performance highlights investor fears of overvaluation AFP via Getty Images Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has seen its share of sharp pullbacks before — the stock has dropped more than 30% in under two months on 14 separate occasions in recent years, erasing billions in market value and vaporizing hard-won gains in a matter of weeks. History shows that AMD is far from immune to abrupt declines, raising a pressing question: how could the stock crash again from here? The stock has experienced growth over the past year, driven by increasing demand for its AI accelerators and strong data center expansion; however, its rise is encountering tangible obstacles. Geopolitical tensions resulting in export restrictions continue to hinder crucial revenue streams, while intense competition from NVIDIA and the natural volatility of semiconductor supply chains could rapidly diminish market confidence, suggesting potential weakness in this strong upward trend. What Could Cause The Stock To Plummet? AI Competition: Nvidia's dominance in ecosystem (CUDA) and the introduction of the Blackwell series, along with the rise of custom AI ASICs from hyperscalers like Google (TPU), could restrict AMD's market share growth for the Instinct MI300X/MI350 despite its cost-effectiveness and recent export approval to China. CPU Market Pressure: Intel's assertive 2025 roadmap featuring Arrow Lake/Lunar Lake for client and server CPUs, as well as ARM aiming for a 50% market share in data center CPUs by the end of 2025 through AWS Graviton and custom chips, poses a threat to AMD’s EPYC and Ryzen expansion. Macro-Geopolitical Issues: A deteriorating global economic forecast for 2025 and ongoing U.S.-China technology restrictions, even with the recent approvals for MI308, could undermine overall semiconductor demand and induce supply chain turbulence. What’s The Worst-Case Scenario? When considering AMD's vulnerabilities in challenging markets, the statistics reveal the situation. The stock fell more than 83% during the Dot-Com crash and nearly 92% during the Global Financial Crisis. Even the inflation spike in 2022 significantly impacted it, resulting in a decline of around 65%. Smaller selloffs such as in 2018 and during the Covid crisis still resulted in decreases of about 49% and 34%, respectively. Thus, despite the positive aspects surrounding AMD, major market downturns have taken a considerable toll. However, the risks are not confined to major market crashes. Stocks can decline even in favorable markets – consider occurrences like earnings announcements, business updates, and changes in outlook. Read AMD Dip Buyer Analyses to learn how the stock has bounced back from significant drops historically. MORE FOR YOU Is Risk Evident In The Company’s Financials Yet? Let’s examine the fundamentals. Revenue Growth: 31.8% LTM and 12.9% average over the last 3 years. Cash Generation: Nearly 17.0% free cash flow margin and 9.4% operating margin LTM. Valuation: Advanced Micro Devices stock trades at a P/E ratio of 79.6. metrics1 Trefis \*LTM: Last Twelve Months If you are interested in more information, read Buy or Sell AMD Stock . Multi-Asset Portfolios Provide More Potential With Reduced Risk Stocks can rise and fall, but bonds, commodities, and other assets can stabilize the journey. A multi-asset portfolio maintains steadier returns while minimizing single market risk. The asset allocation strategy from Trefis’ Boston-based wealth management partner achieved positive returns during the 2008-09 period when the S&P lost over 40%. Our partner’s strategy now includes the Trefis High Quality Portfolio , which has demonstrated a strong track record of exceeding its benchmarks that encompass the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Editorial Standards Reprints & Permissions LOADING VIDEO PLAYER... FORBES’ FEATURED Video ### Related Stocks - [AMD.US - AMD](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/AMD.US.md) - [AMDL.US - GraniteShares 2x Long AMD Daily ETF](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/AMDL.US.md) ## Related News & Research | Title | Description | URL | |-------|-------------|-----| | Is AMD stock a buy, sell, or hold in 2026? | AMD is looking to make a comeback in the AI world. | [Link](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/275987562.md) | | AMD just announced a huge turnaround. 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