--- title: "Michael Saylor Says Bitcoin Makes MSTR 'Interesting,' But Polymarket Aren't So Sure" type: "News" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/271355785.md" description: "Michael Saylor, executive chairman of Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ:MSTR), claims Bitcoin enhances the stock's appeal. However, Polymarket traders predict a 76% chance of MSTR being removed from the MSCI index by March 31, indicating concerns over its classification. MSTR's options interest-to-market cap ratio is significantly higher than that of major tech companies, suggesting extreme derivatives positioning. Despite a 3.70% increase today, MSTR remains in a downtrend, with key support at $148-$150 and resistance at $167-$170. A break below $148 could lead to further declines." datetime: "2026-01-02T18:40:56.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/271355785.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/271355785.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/271355785.md) --- > 支持的語言: [简体中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/271355785.md) | [English](https://longbridge.com/en/news/271355785.md) # Michael Saylor Says Bitcoin Makes MSTR 'Interesting,' But Polymarket Aren't So Sure **Strategy Inc.** (NASDAQ:MSTR) executive chairman **Michael Saylor** says **Bitcoin** (CRYPTO: BTC) makes the stock “interesting,” but Polymarket traders bet 76% the company gets booted from MSCI by March 31. ### Options Activity Dwarfs Mega-Cap Peers Saylor on Frida pointed to MSTR’s options interest-to-market cap ratio, which now sits at 86.2%—far exceeding derivatives exposure at **Tesla Inc.** (NASDAQ:TSLA) at 22%, **Meta Platforms Inc.** (NASDAQ:META) at 10.4%, and **Nvidia Corp.** (NASDAQ:NVDA) at 7.2%. Tech giants like **Alphabet Inc.** (NASDAQ:GOOGL), **Amazon Inc.** (NASDAQ:AMZN), **Apple Inc.** (NASDAQ:AAPL), and **Microsoft Corp** (NASDAQ:MSFT) cluster much lower around 3-4%, highlighting how extreme MSTR’s derivatives positioning is relative to its market size. A large Jan. 2 options expiry could heighten short-term volatility, though MSTR’s returns over the past year have lagged behind its mega-cap peers despite the elevated options activity. ### Polymarket Sees Structural Pressure Building Polymarket traders are positioning for stress around Strategy’s equity narrative as 2026 approaches.  The 76% probability of MSCI index removal by March 31 reflects sustained concern over classification and index eligibility rather than a fleeting headline risk. At the same time, confidence in another aggressive Bitcoin disclosure has softened.  The odds that MicroStrategy announces holdings above 680,000 BTC by Jan. 31 sit at 64%, down from recent highs. Together, the pricing suggests traders expect structural pressure on the stock to materialize sooner than any near-term upside catalyst tied to fresh Bitcoin accumulation. ### Chart Shows $148 Is Last Line Of Defense _MSTR Price Action By TradingView_ MSTR is up 3.70% today, but remains in a clear downtrend after the 66% decline from late July’s peak near $460. The 20 EMA at $167.67 represents the nearest overhead resistance, followed by the 50 EMA at $202.78. The Supertrend indicator at $181.47 has flipped bearish, reinforcing the current downtrend.  The descending trendline from the November peak continues to cap upside attempts. Recent price action shows consolidation in the $150-$160 range with diminishing volatility, which could precede a directional move.  The overall technical structure remains negative until the stock can reclaim key moving averages. ### Key Levels To Watch - Immediate support: $148-$150 (recent lows) - Key resistance: $167-$170 (20 EMA), $180-$185 (Supertrend + psychological level) - Major resistance: $200+ (50 EMA zone) A break below $148 opens the door to further downside with no clear support until $120-$130.  Reclaiming $180 and holding it as support would be the first sign of a trend reversal. **Read Next:** - **Why Is ParaZero Stock Gaining Today?** _Image: Shutterstock_ ### 相關股票 - [Strategy (MSTR.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/MSTR.US.md) - [BTC/HKD (BTCHKD.VAHK)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/BTCHKD.VAHK.md) - [BTC/USD (BTCUSD.VAHK)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/BTCUSD.VAHK.md) ## 相關資訊與研究 - [MSTR Stock May Bottom After 'Final Shakeout' Toward $90-$100, Says Analyst: '...A Buy Signal'](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/281625726.md) - [Michael Saylor Says It's Time To Put His Laser Eyes Back On, Fellow Bitcoin Bull Chimes In: 'Never Took Them Off'](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/280972360.md) - [Emera Incorporated Announces the Closing of the Offering of US$750 Million Aggregate Principal Amount of Senior Notes | EMA Stock News](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/280828374.md) - [Metaplanet acquires 5,075 BTC, jumps to third largest bitcoin treasury company](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/281496390.md) - [Strategy Pause In Bitcoin Buying Puts STRC Tax And Funding In Focus](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/281500634.md)