--- title: "Elon Musk: Tesla plans to publicly sell the Optimus robot next year, and AI may surpass human intelligence by the end of this year" type: "News" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/273417326.md" description: "Tesla CEO Elon Musk announced at the Davos Forum that Tesla plans to publicly sell the Optimus robot by the end of next year and predicts that AI will surpass human intelligence by the end of this year. He revealed that the Optimus robot has been performing simple tasks in the factory and is expected to handle more complex work. Musk also mentioned that Tesla's Robotaxi service is expected to be deployed on a large scale in the United States, and Tesla's stock price rose following his remarks. Musk emphasized that robots, AI, and autonomous driving are key business directions for Tesla's future" datetime: "2026-01-22T19:59:49.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/273417326.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/273417326.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/273417326.md) --- > 支持的語言: [简体中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/273417326.md) | [English](https://longbridge.com/en/news/273417326.md) # Elon Musk: Tesla plans to publicly sell the Optimus robot next year, and AI may surpass human intelligence by the end of this year Tesla CEO Elon Musk outlined a grand blueprint covering humanoid robots, autonomous driving, space exploration, and artificial intelligence (AI) at the World Economic Forum in Davos, predicting that AI will surpass human intelligence by the end of this year at the earliest, and that Tesla's humanoid robot Optimus will be available for public sale by the end of next year. On Thursday, January 22, local time, Musk appeared at the Davos Forum and engaged in a dialogue with BlackRock CEO Larry Fink. He revealed that Tesla has deployed some Optimus robots in its factories to perform simple tasks and expects these robots to handle more complex work by the end of this year. Musk stated that if Tesla is confident in the reliability, safety, and functionality of the robots, public sales will begin by the end of next year. Musk also mentioned that Tesla's autonomous taxi service Robotaxi is expected to be deployed on a large scale in the U.S. this year, having already started offering Robotaxi services in Austin, Texas, without in-car safety supervisors. SpaceX hopes to achieve full reusability of the Starship rocket this year. He predicts that by the end of this year, or at the latest next year, AI will become "smarter than any human." During Musk's speech, Tesla's stock price continued to rise, with an intraday increase of over 3% by Thursday afternoon, likely marking a two-day consecutive rise, erasing the declines of the past week. Tesla's core automotive business has seen a decline in delivery volumes for two consecutive years due to an outdated product line and the cancellation of U.S. electric vehicle subsidies. The directions of autonomous driving, AI, and robotics mentioned by Musk are viewed as key focuses for Tesla. Musk stated in early September last year that about 80% of Tesla's value will come from the robot project Optimus, which he first proposed four years ago. ## Optimus Robot Advancement Timeline Clarified Musk provided a more specific timeline for the commercialization of the Optimus humanoid robot. He stated that public sales will begin when Tesla is confident that the robot possesses "extremely high reliability, extremely high safety, and extremely high functionality," at which point users can "essentially ask it to do almost anything you want it to do." Tesla is currently using some Optimus robots in its factories to perform basic tasks. Musk predicts that by the end of 2026, these robots will be able to "perform more complex tasks." Although Musk often discusses the potential of Optimus, he has previously been relatively vague about production timelines and targets. In a financial report conference call in January 2025, he stated that a "very rough guess" is that Tesla will begin delivering Optimus to other companies in the second half of 2026. Earlier this week, Musk also cautioned that the initial production of Optimus and Tesla's latest model Cybercab will be "extremely slow." Elon Musk previously predicted that humanoid robots will eventually outnumber humans, with billions of machines deployed not only in factories but also in homes, assisting with tasks ranging from dishwashing to childcare. ## Progress in Autonomous Driving and Space Exploration In the field of autonomous driving, Musk claimed that this "is essentially a solved problem." He stated that Tesla's full self-driving software is updated weekly at times, and some insurance companies offer half-price insurance to customers using this technology due to its safety record. Tesla has launched robotaxi services in several cities and is expected to deploy them on a large scale in the U.S. by the end of this year, with supervised full self-driving approval in Europe possibly obtained next month. In terms of space exploration, Musk stated that SpaceX hopes to achieve complete rocket reusability this year with Starship. He described Starship as "the largest spacecraft ever," and this breakthrough would reduce the cost of access to space by 100 times, bringing it below $100 per pound. SpaceX has demonstrated the ability to capture rocket boosters on the launch pad but has not yet attempted to recover and reuse the Starship spacecraft. Musk also discussed plans to launch solar-powered AI satellites in the coming years. He pointed out that solar panel efficiency in space is five times that on Earth due to continuous sunlight and no atmospheric interference. He predicted that "the cheapest place to deploy AI will be in space," which could be achieved within two to three years. ## Predictions on AI Development and Energy Infrastructure Musk made bold predictions about AI development, stating that AI could become "smarter than any human" by the end of this year or "at the latest next year." This prediction underscores his assessment of the rapid advancement of AI technology. Regarding energy production, Musk stated that an area of solar panels measuring 100 square miles could power the entire United States. He revealed that teams from SpaceX and Tesla are working to establish an annual solar manufacturing capacity of 100 gigawatts in the U.S. within about three years. Musk's appearance at Davos was somewhat unexpected, as he had previously criticized the forum as "boring" and lambasted the World Economic Forum for "becoming an unelected world government that people never asked for and do not want." In 2022, he posted on social media: "What is the World Economic Forum/Davos Forum? Do they want to be the bosses of the Earth?" In the dialogue, Musk stated that the overall goal of his companies is to maximize the possibility of "civilization having a beautiful future" and to extend "consciousness beyond Earth." Risk Warning and Disclaimer The market has risks, and investment requires caution. This article does not constitute personal investment advice and does not take into account the specific investment goals, financial situation, or needs of individual users. Users should consider whether any opinions, views, or conclusions in this article align with their specific circumstances. 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