---
title: "分析師 Peter Brandt 預測比特幣的長期支撐位"
description: "著名交易員彼得·布蘭特預測，比特幣的長期支撐位可能就在 42,000 美元以下，這一判斷基於歷史熊市模式。他將 “香蕉皮” 支撐位視為一個關鍵區域，該區域在之前的熊市中曾被測試。布蘭特的分析將比特幣的價格趨勢可視化為一個香蕉形狀的拋物線，外弧代表牛市的峯值，內弧則指示長期支撐位，通常會經歷深度修正"
type: "news"
locale: "zh-HK"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/275117517.md"
published_at: "2026-02-06T11:13:51.000Z"
---

# 分析師 Peter Brandt 預測比特幣的長期支撐位

> 著名交易員彼得·布蘭特預測，比特幣的長期支撐位可能就在 42,000 美元以下，這一判斷基於歷史熊市模式。他將 “香蕉皮” 支撐位視為一個關鍵區域，該區域在之前的熊市中曾被測試。布蘭特的分析將比特幣的價格趨勢可視化為一個香蕉形狀的拋物線，外弧代表牛市的峯值，內弧則指示長期支撐位，通常會經歷深度修正

著名交易員和圖表分析師彼得·布蘭特（Peter Brandt）建議，如果比特幣遵循以往熊市的模式，其底部可能會略低於 42,000 美元。根據 ChainCatcher 的説法，布蘭特將 “香蕉皮” 支撐視為比特幣最重要的長期支撐區域。從歷史上看，2011 年、2015 年、2018 年和 2022 年主要熊市的底部都接近或略微突破了這一線。“香蕉皮” 支撐是布蘭特在其長期比特幣價格分析中創造的術語。他將 2010 年至今比特幣的對數價格趨勢可視化為一個香蕉形狀的拋物線或弧線，稱為比特幣香蕉圖。香蕉的外弧代表了牛市高峰時的拋物線式上漲和極端擴張。內弧或 “香蕉皮” 支撐則表示長期趨勢支撐帶，通常在多次熊市中深度修正時會觸及或略微跌破。

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