--- title: "景順與卡米尼亞克做空美債,看淡美聯儲降息空間" description: "景順與卡米尼亞克的投資組合經理通過看空美國國債,認為美國經濟的韌性可能導致降息落空。1 月份就業增長超出預期、企業投資人工智能,以及美聯儲對降息的謹慎態度,表明經濟過於強勁,不適合大幅寬鬆。儘管部分投資者仍預期降息,但一些機構如法國巴黎銀行對此表示懷疑,警告若降息未如期,美債價格將劇烈下跌。" type: "news" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/276389838.md" published_at: "2026-02-19T22:47:38.000Z" --- # 景順與卡米尼亞克做空美債,看淡美聯儲降息空間 > 景順與卡米尼亞克的投資組合經理通過看空美國國債,認為美國經濟的韌性可能導致降息落空。1 月份就業增長超出預期、企業投資人工智能,以及美聯儲對降息的謹慎態度,表明經濟過於強勁,不適合大幅寬鬆。儘管部分投資者仍預期降息,但一些機構如法國巴黎銀行對此表示懷疑,警告若降息未如期,美債價格將劇烈下跌。 景順(Invesco Ltd.)與卡米尼亞克(Carmignac)的投資組合經理正通過看空美國國債進行博弈,理由是美國經濟的韌性可能導致降息落空。 經理人們指出,美國 1 月份就業增長超出預期、企業大舉投資人工智能(AI),以及美聯儲決策者對降息持謹慎態度,這些都表明經濟過於強勁,不適合美聯儲進行大幅寬鬆。 儘管部分投資者仍預期降息,但包括法國巴黎銀行在內的另一些機構則對此存疑,並警告稱如果降息未如期兑現,美債價格將面臨劇烈下跌。 ### Related Stocks - [GOVT.US - 美國中期國債 ETF - iShares](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/GOVT.US.md) - [SHV.US - 美國短期國債指數 ETF - iShares](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/SHV.US.md) - [BIL.US - 美國國債 1-3月 ETF - SPDR](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/BIL.US.md) - [LQD.US - 美國投資級公司債 - iShares](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/LQD.US.md) - [IGSB.US - 短期公司債券 ETF - iShares](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/IGSB.US.md) - [IEF.US - 7-10 年美國國債 ETF - iShares](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/IEF.US.md) - [SCHI.US - 5-10 年公司債券 ETF - Charles Schwab](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/SCHI.US.md) - [TLT.US - 20 年期以上美國國債 ETF - iShares](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/TLT.US.md) ## Related News & Research | Title | Description | URL | |-------|-------------|-----| | A Disinflationary Path To The Next Inflation Problem | The article discusses the recent trends in Treasury bonds and the macroeconomic signals indicating a shift from disinfla | [Link](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/275950207.md) | | ROI-Bonds swept up in leap of faith on AI productivity: Mike Dolan | Treasuries are influenced by the AI productivity boom, leading to a decline in U.S. government bond yields. Speculation | [Link](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/276210976.md) | | Table-Non-competitive bids for U.S. 30-year tips | Feb 19 (Reuters) - Below are results from non-competitive bids on U.S. 30-Year TipsSecurity 30-year tipsIssue Date Feb 2 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/276364019.md) | | New York Fed's Remache says elevated Fed bond buying to continue until mid-April | The New York Fed's Julie Remache announced that the Federal Reserve will continue its substantial Treasury bill purchase | [Link](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/275813608.md) | | ANALYSIS-Investors ramp up bets on steeper yield curve under Warsh-led Fed | Investors are increasing bets on a steeper yield curve as Kevin Warsh is expected to lead the Federal Reserve towards in | [Link](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/274798941.md) | --- > **免責聲明**:本文內容僅供參考,不構成任何投資建議。