--- title: "調查顯示，奢侈住宅的熱潮將推動印度房價上漲至 2028 年" type: "News" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/278823984.md" description: "路透社的一項調查顯示，印度的平均房價預計將在 2028 年前每年上漲 5%，這主要受到富裕買家的需求和高端住房項目的推動。這一趨勢與對價格低於 1000 萬盧比的住房需求顯著下降形成對比。分析師預計，未來三年主要城市的城市房價將上漲 5%-7%，而平均城市租金預計將上漲 6%-15%，這將加劇中低收入羣體的租房困境" datetime: "2026-03-11T21:27:04.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/278823984.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/278823984.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/278823984.md) --- # 調查顯示，奢侈住宅的熱潮將推動印度房價上漲至 2028 年 Average home prices in India are expected to climb 5 per cent each year through 2028, as developers double down on high-end projects in a market ​increasingly shaped by rich buyers, a Reuters poll of property analysts ​showed. Those estimates compare with gains of 6 per cent for 2026 and 5 per cent for 2027 predicted ‌in the previous poll in December. It is, however, higher than a 3.6 per cent increase in 2025, according to Reuters calculations based on the Reserve Bank of India's House Price Index. Demand in India has been largely driven by the wealthy, a small subset of the population, with developers having little incentive to build affordable homes for younger first-time buyers. "It makes more economic sense for the developer to focus on premium housing ... because the ability of customers in the premium housing segment is much higher to absorb the price shock," said Vivek Rathi, national director of research at Knight Frank. Most analysts classify premium housing as homes priced above 10 million rupees, ‌nearly 40 times India's average national per capita income. Homes priced in that category accounted for 63 per cent of total sales in 2025, up from 53 per cent a year earlier, even as overall residential sales fell 11 per cent. Meanwhile, demand for homes priced below 10 million rupees plunged 31 per cent, according to a JLL report. The survey, conducted February 23 - March 10, showed home prices in major urban centres - Mumbai, Delhi, the National Capital Region, Bengaluru and Chennai - are expected to rise 5 per cent-7 per cent over the next three ​years. The supply of luxury homes is likely to either rise or remain unchanged this year, according to 12 ‌of the 14 analysts polled, while two expected a decline. Ten analysts said demand would either increase or stay the same, while four said it would drop. Avneesh Sood, director at Delhi-based ​Eros Group, ‌said home prices were rising faster than incomes, particularly in major cities, adding "middle- and lower-income demographics are ‌being marginalised into a rental trap, forcing a larger proportion of the population to remain in the rental pool for much longer periods." Poll medians showed average urban rents were expected to ‌rise ​6 per cent-8 per cent over the ​coming year, at least twice the country's consumer inflation rate. Square Yards' Sunita Mishra, Savills' Arvind Nandan, Colliers International's Ajay Sharma and ANAROCK's Anuj Puri expect rents to rise 7 per cent-15 per cent. ### 相關股票 - [IND.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/IND.US.md) ## 相關資訊與研究 - [IMF 降新興市場今年經濟增長至 3.9% 中東戰爭帶來不確定](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/282700413.md) - [受美伊局勢波及，印度 3 月 CPI 同比升至 3.40%，能源成本壓力初顯](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/282568402.md) - [阿斯麥財報前瞻：三星晶圓廠訂單動向將是最大催化劑！](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/282567042.md) - [在 “逆風時刻” 堅定增持！ 蘋果 CEO 庫克再度真金白銀力挺耐克](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/282760689.md) - [印度儲備銀行副行長 T Rabi Sankar 批評銀行的套利交易，原因是盧比貶值](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/282441501.md)