--- title: "標普全球表示，戰略石油儲備的歷史性釋放只是一個有限的解決方案" type: "News" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/279032584.md" description: "標普全球能源表示，國際能源署計劃釋放 4 億桶石油，其中包括來自美國的 1.72 億桶，這對當前石油市場的不平衡來説是一個有限的解決方案，特別是在霍爾木茲海峽仍然關閉的情況下。報告強調，這一釋放需要數月時間才能解決 3 月份全球供應減少 4.3 億桶的問題。市場依然不平衡，過多的石油無法出口，而亞洲的供應不足。持續的干擾和潛在的生產停產進一步複雜化了局勢" datetime: "2026-03-13T03:06:59.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/279032584.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/279032584.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/279032584.md) --- # 標普全球表示，戰略石油儲備的歷史性釋放只是一個有限的解決方案 Plans for the largest oil reserves distribution in history, announced Wednesday by the International Energy Agency, may prove to be a bridge from a very unbalanced oil market to one that is less so, and it will be a limited solution if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, according to S&P Global Energy. "The plan to release 400 million barrels, including 172 million barrels from the United States, will help the market adjust to the current imbalance. However, it remains to be seen how the release will support the markets that need it most, particularly Asian markets," the research firm said in a report. It will take months for the 400 million barrels to match the 430 million barrel reduction in global supply in the month of March alone. “There is too much oil that cannot be exported via the Strait of Hormuz and not enough in Asia where stocks are running down. The market is seriously unbalanced and that will continue until the Strait is reopened and upstream and downstream operations return to normal. It will not happen quickly,” said Jim Burkhard, Vice President and Global Head of Crude Oil Research, S&P Global Energy. The 17 million barrels per day (mbpd) reduction in crude oil and refined product supply available to the market from March 1–11 represents the largest oil supply disruption in history and no other historical episode comes close. "S&P Global Energy estimates around 3 to 4 mbpd of oil was exported in the first 11 days of March via routes that bypass the Strait of Hormuz. By contrast, 21 mbpd of oil exports transited the Strait before the war," it said. S&P Global also said that more oil will come from routes that bypass the Strait. Saudi Arabia’s export facility at Yanbu on the Red Sea has an export capacity of 5 million b/d. The United Arab Emirates’ Fujairah terminal, which lies outside the Strait of Hormuz, can export as much as 1.8 million b/d. However, exports from southern Iraq, Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar will remain negligible until the Strait of Hormuz reopens. "While transportation (the ability for tankers to traverse the Strait of Hormuz) was initially the source of the disruption, concerns continue to grow about the underlying oil production itself," the report said. Up to 6 to 7 mbpd of Gulf crude oil production capacity may be shut in, though the overall number remains in flux. Iraq has shut in at least 2 mbpd of production due to storage constraints. Kuwait has shut in some production and others are shutting in production due to security or storage concerns—or both. “Re-starting field production of this scale will be a massive technical exercise. Depending on the reservoir and how long it is shut in, it could take weeks, months or more to fully restore output. There is a similar concern on the downstream side as large refineries in the Gulf have stopped or curtailed operations,” said Jim Burkhard, Vice President and Global Head of Crude Oil Research, S&P Global Energy. ### 相關股票 - [XOP.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/XOP.US.md) - [IEZ.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/IEZ.US.md) - [USO.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/USO.US.md) - [XES.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/XES.US.md) - [CRAK.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/CRAK.US.md) - [OIH.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/OIH.US.md) - [SPGI.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/SPGI.US.md) - [VDE.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/VDE.US.md) - [XLE.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/XLE.US.md) - [IXC.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/IXC.US.md) - [IEO.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/IEO.US.md) ## 相關資訊與研究 - [精準踩在川普伊朗政策轉向前 可疑石油交易引發美國監管機構調查](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/282916146.md) - [油價回落 範斯言論燃起外交解決希望](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/282631250.md) - [Fed 褐皮書：美伊戰事推升能源成本 企業轉趨觀望、經濟溫和成長](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/282890181.md) - [鉅亨速報 - Factset 最新調查：森科能源公司 (SU-US) EPS 預估上修至 5.07 元，預估目標價為 67.56 元](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/282708120.md) - [CARFAX 被《今日美國》評選為最佳工作場所，並被評為弗吉尼亞州最佳工作地點 | 標普全球股票新聞](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/282557148.md)