---
title: "Federal Reserve: Raises U.S. GDP growth forecast, raises PCE inflation expectations for this year and next, raises unemployment rate forecast for next year"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-HK"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/279649258.md"
description: "The Federal Reserve has raised its economic forecasts for the United States, including a median forecast for real GDP growth of 2.4% in 2026, a median forecast for the unemployment rate of 4.4% in 2026, and a median forecast for PCE inflation of 2.7% in 2026. At the same time, related forecasts for 2027 and 2028 have also been adjusted upward"
datetime: "2026-03-18T18:12:18.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/279649258.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/279649258.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/279649258.md)
---

> 支持的語言: [简体中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/279649258.md) | [English](https://longbridge.com/en/news/279649258.md)


# Federal Reserve: Raises U.S. GDP growth forecast, raises PCE inflation expectations for this year and next, raises unemployment rate forecast for next year

Federal Reserve Economic Projections Summary (SEP): The median forecast for the U.S. real GDP growth rate in 2026 is 2.4% (previously estimated at 2.3% in December 2025), 2.3% for 2027 (previously estimated at 2.0%), 2.1% for 2028 (previously estimated at 1.9%), and a long-term forecast of 2.0% (previously estimated at 1.8%).

The median forecast for the U.S. unemployment rate in 2026 is 4.4% (previously estimated at 4.4% in December 2025), 4.3% for 2027 (previously estimated at 4.2%), 4.2% for 2028 (previously estimated at 4.2%), and a long-term forecast of 4.2% (previously estimated at 4.2%).

The median forecast for the U.S. PCE inflation rate in 2026 is 2.7% (previously estimated at 2.4% in December 2025), 2.2% for 2027 (previously estimated at 2.1%), 2.0% for 2028 (previously estimated at 2.0%), and a long-term forecast of 2.0% (previously estimated at 2.0%).

The median forecast for the U.S. core PCE inflation rate in 2026 is 2.7% (previously estimated at 2.5% in December 2025), 2.2% for 2027 (previously estimated at 2.1%), and 2.0% for 2028 (previously estimated at 2.0%)

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