--- title: "BlackRock Pivots 'Hard' For 3rd Time In 50 Years: Chasing 300-400% Returns With 4 Commodity Plays, Says Former Banker" type: "News" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/280156798.md" description: "BlackRock Inc. is making a significant shift from long-duration U.S. government bonds to commodities, marking its third such rotation in 50 years. This move is driven by persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions, leading to a breakdown of the traditional 60/40 portfolio strategy. BlackRock's CIO, Rick Rieder, highlights the need for a diversification strategy focused on real assets. The firm is targeting four commodity plays: gold miners, copper, uranium, and energy producers, aiming for potential returns of 300-400% over the next five years." datetime: "2026-03-23T11:20:33.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/280156798.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/280156798.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/280156798.md) --- > 支持的語言: [简体中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/280156798.md) | [English](https://longbridge.com/en/news/280156798.md) # BlackRock Pivots 'Hard' For 3rd Time In 50 Years: Chasing 300-400% Returns With 4 Commodity Plays, Says Former Banker **BlackRock Inc.** (NYSE:BLK) is systematically dumping long-duration U.S. government bonds, executing a massive structural shift into real assets that has occurred exactly three times in the last 50 years, according to an expert. ## **The End Of Traditional 60/40 Portfolio** The world's largest asset manager is abandoning the classic 60/40 portfolio as its traditional protections break down, according to a recent analysis by **Felix Prehn**, a former investment banker and the co-founder of AceTrader. Historically, when stock prices fell, government bonds provided a haven. Today, driven by sticky inflation and geopolitical supply shocks, both asset classes are falling in tandem. This rare macroeconomic alignment mirrors the inflationary periods of the 1970s and the early 2000s. Prehn notes that the last two times Wall Street executed a bond-to-commodity rotation, “this hard,” the underlying assets delivered staggering returns of “300-400%” over the subsequent five-year periods. > BlackRock is selling US government bonds for the third consecutive quarter. Each sale larger than the last. They manage $11.6 trillion and their risk engine Aladdin runs 5,000 scenarios per day across $21.6 trillion in assets. > > The last two times BlackRock did a bond-to-commodity… > > — Felix Prehn 🐶 (@felixprehn) March 22, 2026 ## **Episodic Shocks And A ‘Plan B’ Strategy** The catalyst for this defensive repositioning lies in escalating global tensions, particularly energy disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. **Rick Rieder**, BlackRock's CIO of Global Fixed Income, describes these near-term energy spikes as episodic supply shocks that “act more like a tax on consumers.” With inflation expectations rising, bond yields must climb to compensate investors, subsequently crushing bond prices. This comes as the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.41% on Friday. BlackRock strategists recently warned that “government bonds and gold are not providing ballast as equities fall,” forcing the firm to pivot toward a “Plan B” diversification strategy tied to real economic strength. ## **Where the Smart Money Is Flowing** As bonds lose their defensive appeal, capital is aggressively rotating into four distinct commodity plays to capture historical upside, according to Prehn. - **Gold Miners And Streamers:** Leveraging fixed production costs against rising spot prices for massive margin expansion. ETFs and stocks such as **VanEck Gold Miners ETF** (NYSE:GDX), **Franco-Nevada Corp.** (NYSE:FNV), and **Wheaton Precious Metals Corp.** (NYSE:WPM) could be affected by this money flow. - **Copper:** Capitalizing on extreme supply deficits driven by the global AI data center and infrastructure buildout. Copper miners like **Freeport-McMoRan Inc.** (NYSE:FCX) could benefit from this. - **Uranium:** Exploiting a structurally lopsided market where demand is mandated to surge amid massive annual supply shortages. Funds and stocks such as **Sprott Physical Uranium Trust** (OTC:SRUUF) and **Cameco Corp.** (NYSE:CCJ) could benefit from these developments. - **Energy Producers:** Targeting cash-flowing oil giants offering high dividend yields and a geopolitical premium amid Middle East pressures. **Exxon Mobil Corp.** (NYSE:XOM), **Chevron Corp.** (NYSE:CVX), and **ConocoPhillips** (NYSE:COP) may also see a flow of capital amid such a rotation. **_Disclaimer:_** _This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors._ _Image via Shutterstock/John Hanson Pye_ ### 相關股票 - [iShares US Oil & Gas Expl & Prod (IEO.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/IEO.US.md) - [Global X Copper Miners (COPX.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/COPX.US.md) - [Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 2X (NUGT.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/NUGT.US.md) - [SPDR Gold Shares (GLD.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/GLD.US.md) - [iShares Copper and Metals Mining ETF (ICOP.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/ICOP.US.md) - [GLOBAL X Gold Explorers (GOEX.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/GOEX.US.md) - [Kinross Gold (KGC.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/KGC.US.md) - [Newmont (NEM.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/NEM.US.md) - [ISHRS S&P Gsci Cmdty (GSG.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/GSG.US.md) - [Direxion Daily Jr Gold Miners Bull 2X (JNUG.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/JNUG.US.md) - [YieldMax Gold Miners Opt Inc Strgy ETF (GDXY.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/GDXY.US.md) - [SPDR Energy Select (XLE.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/XLE.US.md) - [SPDR Gold Minishares (GLDM.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/GLDM.US.md) - [BlackRock (BLK.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/BLK.US.md) - [SD-GOLD (600547.CN)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/600547.CN.md) - [Roundhill Gold Miners Weeklypay ETF (GDXW.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/GDXW.US.md) - [Abrdn Gold ETF Trust (SGOL.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/SGOL.US.md) - [iShares US Energy (IYE.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/IYE.US.md) - [Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/AEM.US.md) - [Sprott JR Gold Miners ETF (SGDJ.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/SGDJ.US.md) - [VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/GDXJ.US.md) - [ChinaAMC CSI SH-SZ-HK Gold Industry Equity ETF (159562.CN)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/159562.CN.md) - [United States Copper Index (CPER.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/CPER.US.md) - [Gold.com (GOLD.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/GOLD.US.md) - [Microsectors Gold Miners 3x Leveraged ETN (GDXU.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/GDXU.US.md) - [Sprott Copper Miners ETF (COPP.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/COPP.US.md) - [ChinaAMC Gold ETF (518850.CN)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/518850.CN.md) - [VG Energy (VDE.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/VDE.US.md) - [Global X Uranium (URA.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/URA.US.md) - [SPDR S&P Mtls & Mng (XME.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/XME.US.md) - [Sprott GLD Miners Etf (SGDM.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/SGDM.US.md) - [iShares Gold Trust (IAU.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/IAU.US.md) - [iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners (RING.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/RING.US.md) - [VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/GDX.US.md) ## 相關資訊與研究 - [American Eagle to Materially Increase 2026 Drill Program, Including Year-Round Drilling | AMEGF Stock News](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/281169325.md) - [Here's How Much $100 Invested In BlackRock 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/281221836.md) - [Gold Hunter shifts from quiet buildup to fully funded drilling push at Newfoundland gold district](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/281261616.md) - [Hegseth's Morgan Stanley Broker Looked to Invest in BlackRock Defense Fund Right Before Iran Attack](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/281190557.md) - [BlackRock Grows Australia Wealth Fund Mandate 74% in Two Years](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/281292328.md)