<h2><strong>日元技術展望：USD/JPY 每週交易水平</strong></h2>
<ul>
<li>USD/JPY 從 2 月份的低點反彈超過 5%，在接近 160 的水平之前創下新的年度高點。</li>
<li>價格目前在上週的區間內交易，動能背離暗示上漲可能正在失去力量——突破將提供指導。</li>
<li>下週將有重大事件風險，包括日本 CPI 和美國零售銷售、ADP 和非農就業數據。</li>
<li>阻力位 160, 160.73, 161.95（關鍵）- 支持位 157.70, 156.67, 154.79-155.07（關鍵）</li>
</ul>
<p>最近幾周，USD/JPY 持續上漲，穩步收復失地，接近 160 的關鍵心理水平。儘管反彈勢頭強勁，但價格在未能進一步上漲至新的年度高點後，現已在該閾值下方整固。隨着動能顯示出早期疲態，且該貨幣對保持在一個明確的區間內，市場正接近一個關鍵的決策點。若突破此水平，將強化看漲趨勢，而若未能跟進，則可能觸發整固期或更深的回調。USD/JPY 每週技術圖表上的戰鬥線已劃定。</p>
<p>查看我最新的 <strong>每週策略網絡研討會</strong>，深入分析這一日元佈局及更多內容。<strong>每週一上午 8:30（東部時間）</strong> 直播。</p>
<h3><strong>日元價格圖表 – USD/JPY 每週</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260326134414-3.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260326134414-3.png"/></p>
<p><em>圖表由 Michael Boutros 準備，資深技術策略師；</em> <em>USD/JPY 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
<p><strong>技術展望：</strong> 在上個月的 <strong>日元技術展望</strong> 中，我們指出 USD/JPY 正在交易於 “周/月收盤時的阻力位，關注未來幾天可能從該區域反轉的情況。從交易的角度來看，如果價格在這一波段上升，損失應限制在 154.79，收盤價需高於 156.67，以推動再次向年度高點進發。” 阻力位在隨後的周內突破，USD/JPY 從 2 月份的低點反彈超過 5%，創下新的年度高點。反彈在接近 160 的水平時停滯，動能背離的加劇暗示上漲可能面臨風險。價格繼續在上週的區間內交易——關注突破以提供短期指導。</p>
<p>上方突破將暴露出 2024 年高周收盤（HWC）<strong>160.74</strong> 的阻力目標，緊隨其後的是 2024 年擺動高點 <strong>161.95</strong>。請注意，本週通道阻力在此閾值上匯聚——若達到該水平，預計會有更大的反應。後續阻力位關注 2025 年上漲的 1.618% 延伸位 <strong>163.33</strong>。</p>
<p>初步每週支撐位為 2025 年 HWC<strong>157.70</strong>，並受到年度開盤目標 <strong>156.67</strong> 的支撐。關鍵支撐位和更廣泛的看漲無效位在年度低周收盤（LWC）和 2 月份反彈的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>154.79-155.08</strong>。若跌破/每週收盤低於該閾值，將暗示更顯著的高點已形成，且更大的趨勢反轉正在進行中。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-USD-JPY-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-USD-JPY-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ"/></p>
<p><strong>總結：</strong> USD/JPY 正在嘗試突破年度開盤區間的高點，關注向 160 的推進。從交易的角度來看，如果價格在這一波段上升，損失應限制在 157.70，需突破月度高點以推動下一波上漲。</p>
<p>請注意，我們將在下週初發布日本 CPI，同時美國 ADP 就業、零售銷售和非農就業數據也將公佈。市場目前已消化今年任何降息的可能性，聯邦基金期貨現在反映出美聯儲可能在 10 月加息的 40% 概率。隨着對更高能源價格將滲透到通脹中的擔憂不斷加劇，就業數據將對美聯儲的下一步行動至關重要，低於預期的就業數據可能會對今年晚些時候加息的預期產生壓力。與此同時，市場情緒將主要受到中東局勢（與伊朗戰爭相關）的影響。請關注頭條新聞，並關注每週收盤以獲取指導。查看我最新的 <strong>日元短期展望</strong>，以更詳細地瞭解近期的 USD/JPY 技術交易水平。</p>
<h3><strong>USD/JPY 關鍵經濟數據發佈</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260326134427-4.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260326134427-4.png"/></p>
<p><strong>經濟日曆</strong> <strong>-</strong> 最新經濟動態和即將發生的事件風險。</p>
<h3><strong>活躍的每週技術圖表</strong></h3>
<ul>
<li>加拿大元 (USD/CAD)</li>
<li>標普 500、納斯達克、道瓊斯</li>
<li>比特幣 (BTC/USD)</li>
<li>歐元 (EUR/USD)</li>
<li>美元指數 (DXY)</li>
<li>澳元 (AUD/USD)</li>
<li>英鎊 (GBP/USD)</li>
<li>黃金 (XAU/USD)</li>
<li>瑞士法郎 (USD/CHF)</li>
<li>原油 (WTI)</li>
</ul>
<p>--- 由 Michael Boutros 撰寫，資深技術策略師</p>
<p>在 X 上關注 Michael <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>

3067

2820

3110

3167

3069

<p>美元/日元自 2 月份的低點反彈超過 5%，接近關鍵心理關口 160，但目前已停滯。當前交易在上週的區間內，顯示出動能可能減弱。關鍵阻力位在 160、160.73 和 161.95，而支撐位在 157.70、156.67 和 154.79-155.07。即將發佈的經濟數據包括日本的消費者物價指數和美國的零售銷售，這可能會影響市場方向。如果突破 160 的走勢明確，可能會加強看漲趨勢，而未能突破則可能導致盤整或回調</p>

<h2><strong>Japanese Yen Technical Forecast: USD/JPY Weekly Trade Levels</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>日元技術展望：USD/JPY 每週交易水平</strong></h2>
</div><ul>
<li>USD/JPY USD/JPY has rallied more than 5% from the February low, pushing to fresh yearly highs before stalling just below the 160 level.</li>
<li>Price is now trading within last week’s range, with momentum divergence suggesting the advance may be losing strength- breakout to offer guidance.</li>
<li>Major event risk next week with Japan CPI and US retail sales, ADP &amp; NFPs on tap</li>
<li>Resistance 160, 160.73, 161.95 (key)- Support 157.70, 156.67, 154.79-155.07(key)</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>USD/JPY 從 2 月份的低點反彈超過 5%，在接近 160 的水平之前創下新的年度高點。</li>
<li>價格目前在上週的區間內交易，動能背離暗示上漲可能正在失去力量——突破將提供指導。</li>
<li>下週將有重大事件風險，包括日本 CPI 和美國零售銷售、ADP 和非農就業數據。</li>
<li>阻力位 160, 160.73, 161.95（關鍵）- 支持位 157.70, 156.67, 154.79-155.07（關鍵）</li>
</ul>
</div><p>USD/JPY has pushed higher in recent weeks, reclaiming ground steadily and approaching a key psychological level near 160. The rally has been strong, but price is now consolidating beneath this threshold after failing to extend gains into fresh yearly highs. With momentum showing early signs of strain and the pair holding within a defined range, the market is approaching a critical decision point. A decisive break above this level would reinforce the bullish trend, while failure to follow through could trigger a period of consolidation or a deeper pullback. Battle lines are drawn on the USD/JPY weekly technical chart.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最近幾周，USD/JPY 持續上漲，穩步收復失地，接近 160 的關鍵心理水平。儘管反彈勢頭強勁，但價格在未能進一步上漲至新的年度高點後，現已在該閾值下方整固。隨着動能顯示出早期疲態，且該貨幣對保持在一個明確的區間內，市場正接近一個關鍵的決策點。若突破此水平，將強化看漲趨勢，而若未能跟進，則可能觸發整固期或更深的回調。USD/JPY 每週技術圖表上的戰鬥線已劃定。</p>
</div><p>Review my latest <strong>Weekly Strategy Webinar</strong> for an in-depth breakdown of this Yen setup and more. <strong>Join live</strong> on Monday’s at 8:30am EST.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>查看我最新的 <strong>每週策略網絡研討會</strong>，深入分析這一日元佈局及更多內容。<strong>每週一上午 8:30（東部時間）</strong> 直播。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Japanese Yen Price Chart – USD/JPY Weekly</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>日元價格圖表 – USD/JPY 每週</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260326134414-3.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260326134414-3.png"/></p>
<p><em>Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist;</em> <em>USD/JPY on TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>圖表由 Michael Boutros 準備，資深技術策略師；</em> <em>USD/JPY 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
</div><p><strong>Technical Outlook:</strong> In last month’s <strong>Japanese Yen Technical Forecast</strong> we noted that USD/JPY was trading into, “resistance into the close of the week / month, and the focus is on a possible inflection off this zone in the days ahead. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to 154.79 IF price is heading higher on <em>this</em> stretch with a close above 156.67 needed to fuel another run towards the yearly highs.” Resistance broke the following week with USD/JPY extending more than 5% off the February lows to a fresh yearly high. The advance stalled just ahead of the 160-handle with building momentum divergence suggests the advance may be vulnerable. Price continues to trade within last week’s range- look for the breakout to offer near-term guidance here.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>技術展望：</strong> 在上個月的 <strong>日元技術展望</strong> 中，我們指出 USD/JPY 正在交易於 “周/月收盤時的阻力位，關注未來幾天可能從該區域反轉的情況。從交易的角度來看，如果價格在這一波段上升，損失應限制在 154.79，收盤價需高於 156.67，以推動再次向年度高點進發。” 阻力位在隨後的周內突破，USD/JPY 從 2 月份的低點反彈超過 5%，創下新的年度高點。反彈在接近 160 的水平時停滯，動能背離的加劇暗示上漲可能面臨風險。價格繼續在上週的區間內交易——關注突破以提供短期指導。</p>
</div><p>A topside breach exposes topside resistance objectives at the 2024 high-week close (HWC) at <strong>160.74</strong> backed closely by the 2024 swing high at <strong>161.95</strong>. Note that the channel resistance converges on this threshold this week – look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Subsequent resistance is eyed at the 1.618% extension of the 2025 advance at <strong>163.33</strong>.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>上方突破將暴露出 2024 年高周收盤（HWC）<strong>160.74</strong> 的阻力目標，緊隨其後的是 2024 年擺動高點 <strong>161.95</strong>。請注意，本週通道阻力在此閾值上匯聚——若達到該水平，預計會有更大的反應。後續阻力位關注 2025 年上漲的 1.618% 延伸位 <strong>163.33</strong>。</p>
</div><p>Initial weekly support rests with the 2025 HWC at <strong>157.70</strong> and is backed by the objective yearly open at <strong>156.67</strong>. Key support and broader <em>bullish</em> invalidation rests with the yearly low-week close (LWC) and the 61.8% retracement of the February rally at <strong>154.79-155.08</strong>. A break / weekly close below this threshold would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place and a larger trend reversal is underway.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>初步每週支撐位為 2025 年 HWC<strong>157.70</strong>，並受到年度開盤目標 <strong>156.67</strong> 的支撐。關鍵支撐位和更廣泛的看漲無效位在年度低周收盤（LWC）和 2 月份反彈的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>154.79-155.08</strong>。若跌破/每週收盤低於該閾值，將暗示更顯著的高點已形成，且更大的趨勢反轉正在進行中。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-USD-JPY-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ" alt="" original-src="https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-USD-JPY-V2.jpg?extension=webp&amp;hash=02BA65E65BB9F508C5A91DBB3AFB588E"/></p>
<p><strong>Bottom line:</strong> USD/JPY is attempting to secure a breakout of the yearly opening-range highs, and the focus is on this push towards 160. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to 157.70 IF price is heading higher on <em>this</em> stretch with a break of the monthly highs needed to fuel the next leg of the advance.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>總結：</strong> USD/JPY 正在嘗試突破年度開盤區間的高點，關注向 160 的推進。從交易的角度來看，如果價格在這一波段上升，損失應限制在 157.70，需突破月度高點以推動下一波上漲。</p>
</div><p>Keep in mind we get the release of Japan CPI early next week with US ADP employment, retail sales, and Non-Farm Payrolls on tap into the monthly cross. Markets have now discounted any rate cuts this year with Fed fund futures now reflecting a 40% probability the central bank may hike rates by October. With concerns that higher energy prices will bleed into inflation continuing to mount, the employment data will be critical in determining the Federal Reserve’s next move and a weaker-than-expected print on employment could weigh on expectations for higher rates later this year. In the meantime, sentiment will be largely driven by development in the Middle East with regards to the Iran war. Keep your eyes on the headlines and watch the weekly close here for guidance. Review my latest <strong>Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook</strong> for a closer look at the near-term USD/JPY technical trade levels.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>請注意，我們將在下週初發布日本 CPI，同時美國 ADP 就業、零售銷售和非農就業數據也將公佈。市場目前已消化今年任何降息的可能性，聯邦基金期貨現在反映出美聯儲可能在 10 月加息的 40% 概率。隨着對更高能源價格將滲透到通脹中的擔憂不斷加劇，就業數據將對美聯儲的下一步行動至關重要，低於預期的就業數據可能會對今年晚些時候加息的預期產生壓力。與此同時，市場情緒將主要受到中東局勢（與伊朗戰爭相關）的影響。請關注頭條新聞，並關注每週收盤以獲取指導。查看我最新的 <strong>日元短期展望</strong>，以更詳細地瞭解近期的 USD/JPY 技術交易水平。</p>
</div><h3><strong>USD/JPY Key Economic Data Releases</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>USD/JPY 關鍵經濟數據發佈</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260326134427-4.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260326134427-4.png"/></p>
<p><strong>Economic Calendar</strong> <strong>-</strong> latest economic developments and upcoming event risk.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>經濟日曆</strong> <strong>-</strong> 最新經濟動態和即將發生的事件風險。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Active Weekly Technical Charts</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>活躍的每週技術圖表</strong></h3>
</div><ul>
<li>Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD)</li>
<li>S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq, Dow</li>
<li>Bitcoin (BTC/USD)</li>
<li>Euro (EUR/USD)</li>
<li>US Dollar Index (DXY)</li>
<li>Australian Dollar (AUD/USD)</li>
<li>British Pound (GBP/USD)</li>
<li>Gold (XAU/USD)</li>
<li>Swiss Franc (USD/CHF)</li>
<li>Crude Oil (WTI)</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>加拿大元 (USD/CAD)</li>
<li>標普 500、納斯達克、道瓊斯</li>
<li>比特幣 (BTC/USD)</li>
<li>歐元 (EUR/USD)</li>
<li>美元指數 (DXY)</li>
<li>澳元 (AUD/USD)</li>
<li>英鎊 (GBP/USD)</li>
<li>黃金 (XAU/USD)</li>
<li>瑞士法郎 (USD/CHF)</li>
<li>原油 (WTI)</li>
</ul>
</div><p>--- Written by Michael Boutros, Senior Technical Strategist</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>--- 由 Michael Boutros 撰寫，資深技術策略師</p>
</div><p>Follow Michael on X <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 X 上關注 Michael <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>
</div>

Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Stalls Below 160 – Breakout or Reversal?

Forex

Tokyo Ichiban Foods Co., Ltd.

Yamami Co.

Nitto Boseki Co., Ltd.

Tokai Holdings Corporation

JFLA Holdings, Inc.

日元走勢預測：美元兑日元在 160 以下停滯——是突破還是反轉？