--- title: "Powell states that long-term inflation expectations are stable, market retracts interest rate hike bets, three major indices rise slightly" type: "News" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/281051188.md" description: "Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that long-term inflation expectations remain stable, but attention must be paid to short-term shocks and the impact of war. He pointed out that U.S. inflation has not yet fallen back to the 2% target, and rising international oil prices may increase inflationary pressures and suppress consumption. Market reactions indicate a withdrawal of rate hike bets, shifting towards rate cut expectations, with U.S. stocks rising slightly" datetime: "2026-03-30T16:02:51.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281051188.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/281051188.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/281051188.md) --- > 支持的語言: [简体中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281051188.md) | [English](https://longbridge.com/en/news/281051188.md) # Powell states that long-term inflation expectations are stable, market retracts interest rate hike bets, three major indices rise slightly According to the Zhitong Finance APP, on Monday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that current long-term inflation expectations remain stable overall, and he is closely monitoring the potential impacts of the war. Powell pointed out during an event at Harvard University that, in the long term, inflation expectations "remain relatively solid," but short-term shocks still require vigilance. He emphasized that the Federal Reserve is uncertain about the specific economic impacts of the U.S.-Iran war, but policymakers must continuously track changes in inflation expectations. Powell stated, "Typically, we would choose to ignore the short-term effects of supply shocks, but this is contingent on closely monitoring inflation expectations." He also noted that since the COVID-19 pandemic, U.S. inflation has not fully returned to the Federal Reserve's target of 2%, which complicates current policy judgments. As the conflict continues, international oil prices have risen significantly over the past month. Analysts believe that high oil prices may, on one hand, increase inflationary pressures, while on the other hand, suppress consumer demand and drag down economic growth, thus posing challenges to monetary policy. Powell remarked, "We do not know how significant the energy shock will be; it is too early to draw conclusions now." He admitted that the Federal Reserve is currently facing pressures between policy objectives. On one hand, there are downside risks in the labor market, suggesting that interest rates should remain low to support the economy; on the other hand, there are upside risks to inflation, indicating that policy should not be overly accommodative. "The labor market has downside risks, which means we should maintain low interest rates, but the upside risks to inflation suggest that we may not want to keep rates low." During Powell's remarks, market pricing indicated that bets on Federal Reserve interest rate hikes were withdrawn, shifting to pricing in the possibility of rate cuts this year. U.S. stocks rose slightly, with the S&P 500 index up 0.4%, the Nasdaq up 0.14%, and the Dow Jones up 0.86% ### 相關股票 - [Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/.DJI.US.md) - [Nasdaq (NDAQ.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/NDAQ.US.md) - [NASDAQ Composite Index (.IXIC.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/.IXIC.US.md) - [S&P 500 (.SPX.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/.SPX.US.md) - [ISHRS Us Brokers & Sec Exchg (IAI.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/IAI.US.md) - [Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/QQQ.US.md) - [Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/XLF.US.md) - [VG Financial (VFH.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/VFH.US.md) - [Fidelity MSCI Financials Index (FNCL.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/FNCL.US.md) - [Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index ETF (ONEQ.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/ONEQ.US.md) ## 相關資訊與研究 - [U.S. commercial paper market shrinks in week-Fed](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/280667304.md) - [Lucrative bets that anticipated Trump's policy surprises warrant scrutiny, experts say](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/280904933.md) - [Franchetti boosts 2025 growth and outlines expansion plan through 2030](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/281069682.md) - [U.S. 2-year notes high yield 3.936%](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/280351131.md) - [ROI-Why $100 oil won't break the American consumer: McGeever](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/280166425.md)