--- title: "哈特內特:為何大宗商品會成為未來五年最重要的交易" type: "News" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/282428012.md" description: "美國銀行首席投資官邁克爾·哈特內特預測,商品將在未來五年內成為最大的交易。他之前表示,去年十二月底觸發的賣出信號已經結束,並警告稱,油價超過每桶 100 美元以及 30 年期收益率達到 5% 可能引發政策恐慌。哈特內特的分析表明,他在三個月的時間內準確識別了市場的高峰和低谷" datetime: "2026-04-12T00:27:24.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/282428012.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/282428012.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/282428012.md) --- # 哈特內特:為何大宗商品會成為未來五年最重要的交易 Two weeks ago, Bank of America CIO Michael Hartnett wrote that his proprietary Sell Signal, which had been triggered in late December, right around the time the S&P printed its all time highs, had just ended... and warned that "_with oil \>$100/bbl, 30Y yields at 5%, and the S&P plunging, policy panic begins."_ It now appears that he was right on both accounts, calling the top, and then 3 months later, also calling the bottom almost to the day. ### 相關股票 - [WEAT.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/WEAT.US.md) - [IEO.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/IEO.US.md) - [PXJ.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/PXJ.US.md) - [OIH.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/OIH.US.md) - [CORN.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/CORN.US.md) - [PDBC.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/PDBC.US.md) - [VDE.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/VDE.US.md) - [UCO.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/UCO.US.md) - [IXC.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/IXC.US.md) - [SOYB.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/SOYB.US.md) - [COM.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/COM.US.md) - [DBA.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/DBA.US.md) - [IEZ.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/IEZ.US.md) - [CPER.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/CPER.US.md) - [SCO.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/SCO.US.md) - [CRAK.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/CRAK.US.md) - [XES.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/XES.US.md) - [BCI.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/BCI.US.md) - [BNO.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/BNO.US.md) - [XLE.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/XLE.US.md) - [USO.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/USO.US.md) - [XOP.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/XOP.US.md) ## 相關資訊與研究 - [瑞銀上調 9 月布蘭特油價預測至 105 美元](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287239620.md) - [中東局勢現轉機 國際油價大跌](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287123473.md) - [花旗喊 Brent 原油上看 120 美元 油市低估中東風險](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286971527.md) - [突圍荷莫茲 阿聯:第二條陸上輸油管已完工五成](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287171408.md) - [美上週原油總庫存創紀錄暴跌 1780 萬桶 出口創新高](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287096913.md)