--- title: "Motilal Oswal 本週推薦的行業是旅遊與酒店業；查看這裏的熱門投資選擇" type: "News" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/282804435.md" description: "印度的旅遊和酒店行業在 FY26 末面臨波動，3 月份由於西亞地緣政治緊張局勢影響了入境旅遊。儘管面臨高昂的機票和航班取消等挑戰，該行業的基本面依然強勁，預計在停火和改善的旅遊情緒的支持下將實現復甦。印度酒店和檸檬樹等公司在國內旅遊和會議獎勵活動的強勁需求支持下，具備增長潛力。該行業的前景樂觀，未來幾年有望實現兩位數的收入增長" datetime: "2026-04-14T23:57:20.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/282804435.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/282804435.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/282804435.md) --- # Motilal Oswal 本週推薦的行業是旅遊與酒店業；查看這裏的熱門投資選擇 India’s travel and hospitality sector witnessed a volatile close to FY26, with a strong start in January-February offset by significant disruptions in March due to geopolitical tensions in West Asia. Elevated airfares, widespread flight cancellations, and restricted airspace across key transit routes led to a sharp slowdown in inbound travel, resulting in flat-to-mildly negative occupancy trends and mid-single-digit growth in revenue per available room (RevPAR), largely driven by average room rate (ARR) expansion. The disruption was particularly pronounced given that the Gulf region accounts for nearly 30 per cent of India’s international travel flows. Over 23,000 flight cancellations and a pause in select international operations significantly impacted foreign tourist arrivals, a key contributor to premium hotel demand. Properties with higher dependence on foreign tourist arrivals saw a sharper decline in occupancy due to cancellations, while those with stronger domestic exposure remained relatively resilient, benefiting from steady local demand and a shift toward domestic travel. Despite these near-term headwinds, the sector’s underlying fundamentals remain intact. A recently announced ceasefire and ongoing diplomatic efforts are expected to restore air connectivity across major hubs such as Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Doha, paving the way for a gradual recovery in inbound travel. With foreign tourists accounting for a meaningful share of hospitality revenues and typically driving higher yields, normalisation in this segment is expected to support both occupancy and pricing. Looking ahead, the near-term outlook appears constructive, aided by a low base and improving travel sentiment. Early indicators suggest a sequential recovery in April, with demand likely to strengthen further into Q1FY27. From a structural standpoint, the Indian hospitality sector continues to benefit from favourable demand-supply dynamics, a robust pipeline of room additions, and sustained growth in domestic travel. Rising activity across MICE (meetings, incentives, conferences, and exhibitions), weddings, and corporate travel is expected to underpin demand over the medium term. Additionally, ongoing brand expansions, asset renovations, and diversification into new formats are supporting revenue growth and operational leverage. With valuations currently trading below historical peaks, the sector offers a compelling medium-term opportunity, supported by strong earnings visibility and resilient demand drivers, even as it navigates short-term volatility. ### Indian Hotels: TP – ₹800 Indian Hotels’ diversified portfolio across owned, managed, and reimagined brands continues to drive resilient operating performance. Strong traction in core hospitality and new businesses, coupled with scale benefits and a predominantly asset-light pipeline, underpins margin expansion and enhances earnings visibility despite macro volatility. In Q3FY26, consolidated revenue grew 12 per cent Y-o-Y, broadly in line with our estimates, led by 9.5 per cent growth in the standalone segment and 16 per cent growth in subsidiaries. Standalone performance was supported by 13 per cent F&B growth amid strong MICE and wedding demand, while room revenue rose 6 per cent (ARR +7 per cent, occupancy flat). We expect sustained double-digit revenue growth, supported by rising MICE activity, brand scale-up, and partnerships such as ANK, Pride, Brij, and Atmantan, alongside a 30,200-key pipeline (94 per cent asset-light). We model a FY25-28 revenue/EBITDA/adj. PAT CAGR of 14 per cent/18 per cent/16 per cent, with operating leverage driving steady margin expansion. ### Lemon Tree: TP – ₹160 Lemon Tree Hotels’ structural growth strategy is centred on scaling its premium Aurika portfolio, accelerating management contracts, completing renovations, and rebranding assets. This asset-light expansion, alongside improving mix and utilisation, is aimed at lifting ARR, occupancy and return ratios over the medium term. In Q3FY26, revenue rose 14 per cent Y-o-Y, supported by strong 34 per cent growth in food and beverage and 7 per cent growth in rooms. ARR increased 11 per cent to ₹7,487, while occupancy dipped 80 basis points to 73.4 per cent. Ebitda margin remained industry leading at 50.4 per cent, though down 150 basis points due to renovation spends, technology investments and Goods and Services Tax impact. Going ahead, momentum is expected to remain healthy with Aurika Mumbai stabilising, a robust pipeline of 9,364 managed rooms, and benefits from renovations flowing through by mid-FY27. We model a compound annual growth rate of 12 per cent/13 per cent/27 per cent in revenue/Ebitda/adjusted profit after tax over FY25-28. ### 相關股票 - [AWAY.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/AWAY.US.md) - [CRUZ.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/CRUZ.US.md) - [BEDZ.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/BEDZ.US.md) ## 相關資訊與研究 - [鄭志雯：無意出售 Rosewood 瑰麗酒店 積極拓中東市場 正籌備及開發逾 30 項目](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286883652.md) - [鄭志雯稱無意出售瑰麗酒店 兩中東項目按計劃推進 Rosewood Amaala 料夏季前開幕](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286714286.md) - [瑰麗酒店鄭志雯︰Rosewood 將進駐東京六本木，設 200 間客房](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286542979.md) - [LINE Pay 線上旅展開跑 週週領 2,000 元優惠券 滿額有點數回饋](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286871045.md) - [港股 IPO 丨香港中旅以實物分派港澳文旅以介紹方式上市](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287091206.md)