--- title: "Fada 數據顯示，印度汽車市場從供過於求轉變為供不應求" type: "News" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/283261675.md" description: "印度的乘用車市場在 2026 財年已從過剩庫存轉向供應限制，零售銷量增長了 13%，達到 470 萬輛，超過了 7.9% 的批發增長。這表明消費者的銷售速度快於經銷商的供應，導致經銷商庫存水平降低。儘管需求依然強勁，尤其是在城市和農村市場，但生產限制仍然存在，特別是市場領導者鈴木汽車。商用車領域庫存略有增加，而兩輪車則正在經歷需求復甦。汽車製造商必須有效管理生產和庫存，以避免在 2027 財年出現過剩庫存" datetime: "2026-04-19T09:57:27.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/283261675.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/283261675.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/283261675.md) --- # Fada 數據顯示，印度汽車市場從供過於求轉變為供不應求 India’s passenger vehicle (PV) market has undergone a sharp shift in 2025-26 (FY26), flipping from excess inventory to supply-side constraints within a year, even as underlying demand remains strong. Data from the Federation of Automobile Dealers Associations (Fada) shows PV retail sales rose 13 per cent year-on-year to 4.7 million units in FY26. This outpaced wholesale dispatches reported by the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers, which grew 7.9 per cent to 4.64 million units. The divergence indicates vehicles are being sold to end consumers faster than they are being supplied to dealerships, pointing to tightening supply conditions at the manufacturer level. The imbalance has led to a sharp correction in dealer inventory levels. PV dealer stock has normalised to around 28 days, down from over 50 days a year ago, signalling a healthier balance between supply and demand. This marks a clear reversal from 2024-25 and early FY26, when high inventory and uneven retail momentum weighed on dealer sentiment. The current trend suggests demand remains resilient across both urban and rural markets, supported by improved affordability following goods and services tax rate rationalisation and a steady pipeline of model launches. However, the faster pace of retail growth relative to wholesale also highlights constraints on production and dispatches, with automakers adopting a more calibrated approach after last year’s inventory overhang. Despite the broader tightening in inventory, dealers say discounts continue on select models where demand remains uneven. According to dealers, automakers are selectively offering cash benefits and dealer-level incentives to push slower-moving variants and clear older stock. “While fast-selling models have little to no discounts, there is still some support on vehicles with lower demand or higher inventory at the dealership level,” a Mumbai-based dealer said. Market leader Maruti Suzuki India, which contributes close to 40 per cent of PV volumes, has indicated that production constraints are likely to persist over the next few months. Even as demand across its lineup remains robust, wholesale growth has been relatively restrained, suggesting limits in ramping up dispatches in line with market demand. Prolonged waiting periods and shortages of specific variants in select models further underscore ongoing supply-side challenges. In contrast, other segments are exhibiting different demand-supply dynamics. In the commercial vehicle (CV) segment, wholesale dispatches grew 12.6 per cent to 1.08 million units in FY26, slightly ahead of retail growth of 11.7 per cent at 1.06 million units, according to Fada data. While the gap remains modest, it suggests manufacturers are beginning to build inventory in anticipation of sustained demand from infrastructure activity and freight movement. At the same time, the segment remains sensitive to fuel prices, financing conditions, and broader economic cycles, which could weigh on demand visibility. Two-wheelers (2Ws), on the other hand, present a clearer picture of demand recovery. Retail sales grew 13.4 per cent to 21.4 million units, outpacing wholesale growth of 10.7 per cent at 21.7 million units. This indicates dealers are continuing to liquidate inventory while benefiting from improved consumer demand across both rural and urban markets. The recovery has been supported by better affordability, relative stability in rural incomes, and a revival in entry-level demand, marking a return towards pre-pandemic growth trends. Overall, while FY26 has been a high-growth year across segments, the divergence between retail and wholesale trends highlights distinct underlying dynamics within the industry. PVs are entering a phase of tightening supply even as demand holds firm, CVs are showing early signs of inventory build-up, and 2Ws are witnessing a demand-led recovery. Heading into FY27, automakers’ ability to manage production, inventory, and dispatch strategies without recreating excess stock will be critical, particularly in the PV segment, where supply constraints could begin to limit growth despite continued demand strength. ### 相關股票 - [7269.JP](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/7269.JP.md) - [6785.JP](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/6785.JP.md) - [SZKMY.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/SZKMY.US.md) ## 相關資訊與研究 - [印度商用車安全法規升級啟動 ZF 看好當地 ESC 與 ADAS 滲透率加速](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286556716.md) - [商用車隧道費週日起減半 運輸署料 16.5 萬輛車受惠](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286357657.md) - [舒肥雞胸批發代工廠推薦 營業用雞胸肉供應商首選鮮羽食品](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286509552.md) - [【港澳業務強勁】華僑銀行：有信心全年收入錄雙位數增長](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286558397.md) - [無薪假再減 313 人 批發零售業實施人數略高於資訊電子工業、化工業](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286714904.md)