--- title: "聯合國報告指出，印度經濟預計將在 2026 年增長 6.4%，並在 2027 年增長 6.6%" type: "News" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/283436874.md" description: "根據聯合國報告，印度經濟預計在 2026 年增長 6.4%，在 2027 年增長 6.6%。報告指出，2025 年南亞和西南亞的增長率為 5.4%，這得益於印度的強勁表現，預計在 2025 年達到 7.4%。推動這一增長的因素包括強勁的農村消費和減税。然而，由於新關税導致對美國的出口下降 25%，經濟活動在 2025 年底放緩。預計 2026 年的通貨膨脹率為 4.4%，2027 年為 4.3%，外商直接投資流入在地緣政治緊張局勢中下降" datetime: "2026-04-20T20:07:17.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/283436874.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/283436874.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/283436874.md) --- # 聯合國報告指出，印度經濟預計將在 2026 年增長 6.4%，並在 2027 年增長 6.6% India's economy is projected to grow at 6.4 per cent this year and 6.6 per cent in 2027, according to a report by the United Nations. The United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) said in the report released Monday that economies in South and South-West Asia grew by 5.4 per cent in 2025, compared to 5.2 per cent in 2024, driven largely by strong growth in India. India's growth edged up to 7.4 per cent in 2025, "supported by robust consumption, especially from the rural economy along with goods and services tax rate cuts, and export frontloading ahead of the United States' tariffs," the report, titled Economic and Social Survey of Asia and the Pacific 2026, said. It said in India, economic activities moderated in the second half of 2025 as exports to the United States declined by 25 per cent following the introduction of 50 per cent tariffs in August 2025. The services sector remained a key growth driver. The report projected India to register a 6.4 per cent growth rate in 2026 and 6.6 per cent next year. Inflation for the country is projected to be 4.4 per cent this year and 4.3 per cent in 2027. The report said that FDI inflows to developing Asian and Pacific economies declined amid trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty. After an increase of 0.6 per cent in 2024, FDI to the region declined by 2 per cent in 2025, even as global flows increased by 14 per cent. "Within the Asia-Pacific region, the countries that attracted the largest share of greenfield FDI in the first three quarters were India, Australia, the Republic of Korea and Kazakhstan with $50 billion, $30 billion, $25 billion and $21 billion in announced investments, respectively," it said. It further said that personal remittances, sent by Asian and Pacific workers employed outside of their home countries, continued to rise, cushioning the impact of vulnerable domestic employment conditions. Remittances have helped sustain the consumption of many households, but are facing headwinds. In India and the Philippines, about 40 per cent of the transfers are used for essential spending, including medical expenses, of recipient households. "However, as the world's largest remittance recipient of $137 billion in 2024, India could face a sizeable loss as the United States has levied a 1 per cent tax on all remittances since January 2026," it said. The report also cited estimates by the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) that suggested that there were around 16.6 million green jobs globally, with annual job creation of around 0.8 million between 2012 and 2024, 7 per cent annual growth. Out of these 16.6 million jobs, 7.3 million were in China, 1.3 million in India and 2.5 million in the rest of Asia 44 per cent, 8 per cent and 15 per cent of the global total, respectively. "Governments can leverage the energy transition to an environmentally sustainable economy to foster new domestic industries and build supportive constituencies," it said. It noted that public investment and targeted industrial policies can accelerate the emergence of beneficiaries such as renewable manufacturers, grid developers, storage providers and green industrial clusters. The report cited India's production-linked incentive scheme, saying it illustrates how macroeconomic policy can foster green industrial development through incentives for domestic manufacturing of solar photovoltaic, batteries and green hydrogen, reducing import dependence while creating new industrial beneficiaries with a vested interest in sustaining the transition. "Across developing economies in Asia and the Pacific, targeted industrial policies are being used to scale clean technology manufacturing and accelerate the energy transition. Initiatives include India's Production Linked Incentive scheme for high-efficiency solar modules, China's strategic subsidies for electric vehicle battery manufacturing," it said. ### 相關股票 - [INDA.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/INDA.US.md) - [FLIN.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/FLIN.US.md) - [INDY.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/INDY.US.md) - [INDL.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/INDL.US.md) - [IND.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/IND.US.md) - [NFTY.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/NFTY.US.md) - [EPI.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/EPI.US.md) ## 相關資訊與研究 - [知情人士：印度考慮下調外資債券投資相關税負](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286385065.md) - [電能實業：出售 UKPN 不代表業務策略轉變，地緣政治不會對業務構成重大影響](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287060090.md) - [美股創新高但面臨回檔風險，AI 與地緣政治影響市場走勢](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287030000.md) - [來稿｜從「慢迭代」到「快迭代」——尋找香港經濟新引擎](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286375174.md) - [歐洲反貪會議丨胡英明：團結各方克服地緣政治挑戰 應對貪污風險](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286711800.md)