--- title: "確保完整的國內核燃料供應鏈可能需要高達 1700 億美元的資金" type: "News" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286295343.md" description: "美國需要投資 1050 億至 1700 億美元，以確保完整的國內核燃料供應鏈，支持當前的運營和到 2050 年新增 300 吉瓦的產能。麥肯錫的報告強調了重建採礦、磨礦、轉化、濃縮、製造和再處理能力的必要性。目前，美國 99% 的鈾依賴進口，這使得公用事業面臨地緣政治風險。儘管已經為濃縮項目和私營部門倡議撥款近 30 億美元，但麥肯錫強調，僅靠資本是不夠的；改革和勞動力發展對於成功至關重要" datetime: "2026-05-13T17:02:20.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286295343.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286295343.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286295343.md) --- # 確保完整的國內核燃料供應鏈可能需要高達 1700 億美元的資金 To support current commercial nuclear operations, plus 300 GW of new nuclear capacity for a total of roughly 400 GW by 2050, all fueled domestically, the country would **need to invest between $105 billion and $170 billion across the entire nuclear fuel cycle**. Is it still called a bottleneck if the entire industry is the problem? The consulting firm McKinsey & Company used the most aspirational scenario from the Trump administration’s May 2025 executive orders as its benchmark for their recent report. That means rebuilding capacity from **mining and milling through conversion, enrichment, fabrication, and even reprocessing**. It's looking more and more like the $2.7 billion award from the DOE for domestic enrichment barely scratches the surface: - $15-20 billion for mining and milling - $30-45 billion for conversion - $30-40 billion for enrichment - $10-20 billion for fabrication - $20-45 billion for reprocessing These figures assume a mix of new and existing reactors, including Gen IV designs that will demand high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU). We have documented the vulnerabilities for months. Today the United States **imports about 99 percent of the raw uranium ore** needed for its commercial fleet… With milling capacity effectively nonexistent and conversion limited to a single operating facility… And enrichment capacity covers only about one-third of domestic needs… The gaps leave utilities exposed to geopolitical risks and price volatility, a point we highlighted when uranium spot prices pulled back earlier this year even as long-term supply deficits widened… > Uranium: the next gold pic.twitter.com/2SSjvRkdSg > > — zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 12, 2025 Progress is accelerating, however. We reported on the DOE’s Nuclear Fuel Cycle Defense Production Act Consortium, which has met repeatedly to map out a seven-year “Nuclear Dominance – 3 by 33” plan covering every link from mining to reprocessing. DOE has also awarded nearly $3 billion for enrichment projects, including $900 million each to Centrus Energy and General Matter, while the Export-Import Bank has backed up to $4.2 billion in additional financing. Centrus recently committed $560 million to scale centrifuge manufacturing in Oak Ridge, and we covered its joint-venture discussions with Oklo for HALEU deconversion services. The private sector is also making progress on their own, not wanting to wait for the government to sort itself out and attempt to take market share while it's up for grabs. Uranium Energy Corp is expanding ISR mining and advancing conversion licensing. New entrants like FluxPoint Energy and LIS Technologies are targeting conversion and next-generation laser enrichment facilities, aiming for commercial operations before 2030. We also noted Goldman Sachs’ updates showing persistent supply-demand mismatches that continue to support higher uranium prices over the coming decades. McKinsey stresses that **capital alone will not suffice**. Permitting reform, infrastructure build-out, workforce development, and advanced technologies will prove critical to compressing the long lead times inherent in fuel-cycle projects. The firm acknowledges 100% domestic sourcing will prove challenging, yet the analysis underscores that options exist if stakeholders maintain focus. ### 相關股票 - [URAN.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/URAN.US.md) - [RCTR.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/RCTR.US.md) - [NLR.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/NLR.US.md) - [URA.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/URA.US.md) - [URNM.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/URNM.US.md) - [LEU.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/LEU.US.md) - [OKLO.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/OKLO.US.md) - [UEC.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/UEC.US.md) - [GS.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/GS.US.md) - [W4VR.SG](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/W4VR.SG.md) ## 相關資訊與研究 - [專家解析：為何本輪核能發展週期具有強勁支撐](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/284956882.md) - [重啟核電？傳 5 月洽原廠買燃料棒 經濟部：須取得運轉執照才能填裝](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/284985676.md) - [台電：核三室內乾貯採購案 合乎相關規定](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286661709.md) - [德黑蘭核計劃丨伊朗官員指伊美就濃縮鈾處置方式存在嚴重分歧](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/285985624.md) - [TRISO-X 燃料工廠、Xe-100 小型模組化核反應爐與美國 AI 時代先進核能供應鏈解析](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/285758818.md)