---
title: "由於通脹持續高企，市場預計美聯儲將在 12 月加息"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-HK"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286595604.md"
description: "市場目前預計到 2026 年 12 月美聯儲加息的概率超過 50%，這與之前對降息的預期相反。4 月份核心進口價格同比上漲了 3.3%，能源成本因伊朗衝突導致的供應中斷而上升。低收入家庭的税收退款迅速減少，因為通貨膨脹超過了工資增長，這引發了對潛在消費放緩的擔憂"
datetime: "2026-05-15T16:57:18.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286595604.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286595604.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286595604.md)
---

# 由於通脹持續高企，市場預計美聯儲將在 12 月加息

Shift in rate outlook: Markets now price in over a 50% chance of a Fed rate hike by December 2026, reversing earlier expectations for cuts. Inflation still stubborn: Core import prices rose 3.3% year-on-year in April, while energy costs surged amid Iran conflict-related supply disruptions. Consumers feeling strain: Lower-income households are depleting tax refunds quickly as inflation outpaces wages, raising risks of a spending slowdown.

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