---
title: "由於通脹持續高企，市場預計美聯儲將在 12 月加息"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-HK"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286595604.md"
description: "市場目前預計到 2026 年 12 月美聯儲加息的概率超過 50%，這與之前對降息的預期相反。4 月份核心進口價格同比上漲了 3.3%，能源成本因伊朗衝突導致的供應中斷而上升。低收入家庭的税收退款迅速減少，因為通貨膨脹超過了工資增長，這引發了對潛在消費放緩的擔憂"
datetime: "2026-05-15T16:57:18.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286595604.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286595604.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286595604.md)
---

# 由於通脹持續高企，市場預計美聯儲將在 12 月加息

Shift in rate outlook: Markets now price in over a 50% chance of a Fed rate hike by December 2026, reversing earlier expectations for cuts. Inflation still stubborn: Core import prices rose 3.3% year-on-year in April, while energy costs surged amid Iran conflict-related supply disruptions. Consumers feeling strain: Lower-income households are depleting tax refunds quickly as inflation outpaces wages, raising risks of a spending slowdown.

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## 相關資訊與研究

- [【聯儲局會議紀錄】不少官員指通脹風險升温或需加息](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287160401.md)
- [聯儲局會議紀錄：通脹壓力加劇 更多委員對潛在加息持開放態度](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287128342.md)
- [議息紀錄丨聯儲局：通脹如持續高企 加息勢在必行](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287104176.md)
- [伊朗媒體：國會議長卡利巴夫獲任命 負責對中關係](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286669979.md)
- [【美國議息】聯儲局紀要官員放鷹，年底加息機率破八成](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287137814.md)