---
title: "美聯儲預計通脹率將達到 4.2%，滯脹風險正在加劇"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-HK"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286642090.md"
description: "克利夫蘭聯邦儲備銀行預測，5 月份消費者物價指數（CPI）將上漲 4.2%，為一年多以來的最高水平，首席執行官們預計高物價將持續到 2027 年。從 2025 年 4 月到 2026 年 4 月，工資增長了 3.6%，但低於 3.8% 的通貨膨脹率，導致低收入家庭的購買力下降。由於能源衝擊、持續的通貨膨脹和增長放緩，到 2026 年底出現滯漲的可能性為 40%"
datetime: "2026-05-16T10:07:29.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286642090.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286642090.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286642090.md)
---

# 美聯儲預計通脹率將達到 4.2%，滯脹風險正在加劇

Inflation forecast jumps: The Cleveland Fed expects May CPI to climb 4.2%, the highest annual increase in over a year, with CEOs projecting elevated prices well into 2027. Wages lag prices: From April 2025 to April 2026, wages grew 3.6% while inflation reached 3.8%, cutting purchasing power, especially for lower-income households hit by high energy costs. Stagflation risk rises: Prediction markets now give a 40% chance of stagflation by year-end 2026, as energy shocks, sticky inflation, and slowing growth create a challenging policy environment.

### 相關股票

- [.NDX.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/.NDX.US.md)
- [.DJI.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/.DJI.US.md)
- [.IXIC.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/.IXIC.US.md)
- [.SPX.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/.SPX.US.md)

## 相關資訊與研究

- [第三隻黑馬『5 月強茂』+79%](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286530617.md)
- [新債王斷言 聯儲局根本不可能減息](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286681580.md)
- [儘管荷姆茲海峽封閉、滯脹風險升温，股市為何仍持續上漲？高盛這樣解釋](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286929046.md)
- [加拿大 4 月通脹率加速至 2.8%，但低於市場預期](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286931330.md)
- [【美國議息】聯儲局保爾森：當前利率水平適當](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286998531.md)