---
title: "美聯儲預計通脹率將達到 4.2%，滯脹風險正在加劇"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-HK"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286642090.md"
description: "克利夫蘭聯邦儲備銀行預測，5 月份消費者物價指數（CPI）將上漲 4.2%，為一年多以來的最高水平，首席執行官們預計高物價將持續到 2027 年。從 2025 年 4 月到 2026 年 4 月，工資增長了 3.6%，但低於 3.8% 的通貨膨脹率，導致低收入家庭的購買力下降。由於能源衝擊、持續的通貨膨脹和增長放緩，到 2026 年底出現滯漲的可能性為 40%"
datetime: "2026-05-16T10:07:29.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286642090.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286642090.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286642090.md)
---

# 美聯儲預計通脹率將達到 4.2%，滯脹風險正在加劇

Inflation forecast jumps: The Cleveland Fed expects May CPI to climb 4.2%, the highest annual increase in over a year, with CEOs projecting elevated prices well into 2027. Wages lag prices: From April 2025 to April 2026, wages grew 3.6% while inflation reached 3.8%, cutting purchasing power, especially for lower-income households hit by high energy costs. Stagflation risk rises: Prediction markets now give a 40% chance of stagflation by year-end 2026, as energy shocks, sticky inflation, and slowing growth create a challenging policy environment.

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