--- title: "亞洲開發銀行首席經濟學家表示，自由貿易協定和降低進口關税將推動印度的外國直接投資流入" type: "News" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286664596.md" description: "亞行首席經濟學家阿爾伯特·帕克表示，自由貿易協定（FTA）和降低進口關税可能會增強印度的外國直接投資（FDI）流入，而近年來這一流入量有所下降。他強調需要一個強大的製造業生態系統和更好的城市治理來吸引外資。帕克還指出，正在進行的中東危機可能會影響印度的 GDP 增長和通貨膨脹，預計本財年的 GDP 增長為 6.3%，通貨膨脹為 4.5%" datetime: "2026-05-16T23:27:41.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286664596.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/286664596.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286664596.md) --- # 亞洲開發銀行首席經濟學家表示，自由貿易協定和降低進口關税將推動印度的外國直接投資流入 Free Trade Agreements (FTAs), reduction in import tariffs and improvement in business environment would encourage higher net foreign capital inflows into India, which have moderated in recent years, ADB Chief Economist Albert Park has said. During 2021-22, India attracted net Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) of $38.6 billion, which came down to $28 billion in FY23 and further fell to $10.2 billion in FY24. Net FDI -- inflow minus outflow -- came down significantly to single digit to $1 billion in FY25 but improved to $3 billion during the April-December period of FY26. The government should continue reducing import tariffs to ensure foreign investments remain competitive, he told PTI in an interview. It also needs to strengthen the overall manufacturing ecosystem by developing industrial zones with robust infrastructure and integrated facilities, making them easier for foreign firms to address their business needs efficiently in one place, he said, adding that free trade agreements should help increase FDI flow in India. "Asian Development Bank has also been pushing the idea of better governance of cities. This involves a form of integrated planning that encompasses the logistical, regulatory, and human capital needs of the businesses. Smart urbanism that addresses the concerns of the business community," he said. Stressing that uncertainty always leads to a flight of capital to safety, Park said the Asian market is witnessing this phenomenon triggered by uncertainty. Asia is a little bit more vulnerable to the Middle East shocks than other parts of the world, he added. Appreciating various reforms, including labour and GST undertaken by India, Park said India should continue the momentum. On the outlook on crude oil prices, Park said they are likely to stay higher for longer due to the disruption caused by the longer-than-expected Middle East crisis. "With a higher oil price expectation, we actually have it as $ 96 per barrel as average for 2026 as per the new reference scenario. It should stay elevated at $ 80 per barrel in 2027. So, our idea is that oil prices are likely to stay higher for longer," he said. Future prices are showing higher prices farther out into next year than they did before, he said. However, he said, "We have also seen always a kind of a premium of the spot market prices and the nearby futures market because there is such a shortage currently." On the impact of the ongoing Middle East crisis on India, Park said it is going to shave off 0.6 per cent from the country's GDP growth, bringing it to 6.3 per cent, and also stoke inflation significantly in the current financial year. The Asian Development Bank (ADB) in April projected India's GDP growth to remain "robust" at 6.9 per cent in the current fiscal year, and rise to 7.3 per cent in FY28, driven by strong domestic demand. With regard to inflation, ADB had projected 4.5 per cent for the current fiscal year. ### 相關股票 - [INDA.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/INDA.US.md) - [IMVP.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/IMVP.US.md) - [EPI.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/EPI.US.md) ## 相關資訊與研究 - [知情人士：印度考慮下調外資債券投資相關税負](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286385065.md) - [印度擬大幅降低外國投資者債券投資税率，以遏制盧比貶值](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286378503.md) - [墨西哥經濟為何持續疲軟？](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286630763.md) - [美國 4 月工業產值錄得逾一年來最大升幅](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/286624774.md) - [製造業加薪增聘移工 1700 家申請、3456 名本勞受惠](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287039789.md)